No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
20 (Milton)
, Major:
20 (Milton)
Florida - Any: 20 (Milton)
Major:
20 (Milton)
The Weather Channel reported the NOAA plane aborted due to the graupel-small hail. They had reported earlier that the NOAA plane observed 1 mb drop per mile on one of the inbound legs to Felix. I.e. a 60mb drop over 60nm starting at 1008mb. (That will make your ears pop like crazy!)
Felix is way above the pressure wind relationship as stated above. 934mb should be in the 140mph range, and 165mph should be in the 902mb range. Hurricanes don't read the books obviously.
It appears that the pressure is working as intended. I'm now seeing 25C temperatures in the EYE at nearly 10000 feet. Earlier today the warmest temp. was 15C or 59F.
I forgot to mention the possibility of an ERC. Random Chaos' link above eluded to the early appearance of the double/ triple eyewall on satellite. SSMI overpass
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