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.LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES EXPECTED IN HONDURAS FROM TROPICAL STORM SARA
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 36 (Milton) , Major: 36 (Milton) Florida - Any: 36 (Milton) Major: 36 (Milton)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

doug
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Vortex
      Mon Sep 03 2007 09:57 AM

The last visible suggests that an eyewall replacement is under way. Or, perhaps it has peaked...lets hope so.
I remain interested in the patterns surrounding the system...the large upper trough that has preceded it has retrograded into the western GOM. However that may be as far as it goes as a robust high seems to be building northward from Mexico into Texas. The ULL over the Florida straits has not moved west with Felix as the one associated with Dean did. It has flattened into a SW-NE trough or so it appears. The pattern suggests a weakness near the coast line of expected land fall, and northward. I do expect the system to miss the northern Hounduran coast line on a direct hit and see land fall closer to Belize City. I am greatful the models seem so confident to that general point. But I think beyond that some questions remain.

--------------------
doug

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching Category FIVE Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 03 2007 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Vortex LoisCane   Mon Sep 03 2007 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Vortex scottsvb   Mon Sep 03 2007 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Vortex nc_tropical_wx79   Mon Sep 03 2007 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Vortex LoisCane   Mon Sep 03 2007 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Vortex doug   Mon Sep 03 2007 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Vortex Random Chaos   Mon Sep 03 2007 08:35 AM
. * * Re: Vortex LoisCane   Mon Sep 03 2007 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Vortex Random Chaos   Mon Sep 03 2007 08:21 AM
. * * Re: Vortex dem05   Mon Sep 03 2007 04:56 AM
. * * Re: Vortex Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 03 2007 03:04 AM
. * * Re: Vortex Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 03 2007 02:16 AM
. * * Vortex danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 03 2007 02:10 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 03 2007 01:53 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion ltpat228   Mon Sep 03 2007 01:51 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion LoisCane   Mon Sep 03 2007 01:44 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion Random Chaos   Mon Sep 03 2007 01:40 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion LoisCane   Mon Sep 03 2007 01:31 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion typhoon_tip   Mon Sep 03 2007 01:03 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion Random Chaos   Mon Sep 03 2007 12:55 AM
. * * Re: NHC Discussion LoisCane   Mon Sep 03 2007 12:11 AM
. * * NHC Discussion danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 02 2007 11:44 PM
. * * Area off the GA Coast danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 02 2007 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Felix typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Felix Clark   Sun Sep 02 2007 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Felix JY381   Sun Sep 02 2007 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Felix flahurricane   Sun Sep 02 2007 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Felix typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! lunkerhunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: dvorak keeps changing weather999   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Felix Clark   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:38 PM
. * * Felix danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:37 PM
. * * Re: dvorak keeps changing Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:36 PM
. * * dvorak keeps changing LoisCane   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! LoisCane   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! Random Chaos   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:03 PM
. * * annular HanKFranK   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! weather999   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:00 PM
. * * Fierce Felix now at Cat 5 - Recon ABORTED! CoconutCandy   Sun Sep 02 2007 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia LoisCane   Sun Sep 02 2007 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Lysis   Sun Sep 02 2007 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia punkyg   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia lunkerhunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia flahurricane   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia weather999   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Sep 02 2007 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia LoisCane   Sun Sep 02 2007 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 02 2007 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia nc_tropical_wx79   Sun Sep 02 2007 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia weatherguy08   Sun Sep 02 2007 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Watching Category 4 Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia allan   Sun Sep 02 2007 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia weatherguy08   Sun Sep 02 2007 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Clark   Sun Sep 02 2007 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia HanKFranK   Sun Sep 02 2007 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 02 2007 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia allan   Sun Sep 02 2007 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia flahurricane   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia DougBaker   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia StrmTrckrMiami   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Lee-Delray   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:18 PM
. * * Re: what about the system off the Georgia coast? StrmTrckrMiami   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:17 PM
. * * Re: what about the system off the Georgia coast? typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Climate Aficionado   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:13 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Raymond   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:11 PM
. * * what about the system off the Georgia coast? vineyardsaker   Sun Sep 02 2007 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia StrmTrckrMiami   Sun Sep 02 2007 03:42 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Random Chaos   Sun Sep 02 2007 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 02 2007 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Random Chaos   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia flhurricane   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:51 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia cieldumort   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Random Chaos   Sun Sep 02 2007 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Watching Hurricane Felix and Area off Georgia Raymond   Sun Sep 02 2007 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane scottsvb   Sun Sep 02 2007 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane Ron Basso   Sun Sep 02 2007 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane Beaumont, TX   Sun Sep 02 2007 10:26 AM
. * * Felix Strengthens to Solid Cat 2 Hurricane CoconutCandy   Sun Sep 02 2007 08:00 AM

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