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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
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ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
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Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5 3:00 pm EDT
15.5N 76.7W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 997mb
Moving:
N at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1237
Loc: South Florida
Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas
      Wed Sep 05 2007 10:33 AM

Well, honestly the models are beginning to converge on an east coast hit so I believe the NHC will have to take it a little more seriously than they might otherwise.. as all I see is a nice low level swirl/center on visible that is too far east I think to make that dip down under the high and get pushed back towards land.

Unless ...the storm forms further south.. or moves further south.

But, with that many models turning back to the west.. you have to figure they see something we don't.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200799_model.html

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 05 2007 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Marcus   Fri Sep 07 2007 05:21 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas John Mellonhead   Fri Sep 07 2007 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Thu Sep 06 2007 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas scottsvb   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Bastardicasting   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Sep 06 2007 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Lee-Delray   Thu Sep 06 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas hurrev   Thu Sep 06 2007 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas allan   Thu Sep 06 2007 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas hurrev   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas invest1   Thu Sep 06 2007 08:06 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas HanKFranK   Thu Sep 06 2007 07:37 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas BLTizzle   Thu Sep 06 2007 03:06 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Sep 06 2007 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas BillD   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Sep 05 2007 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas DJINFLA   Wed Sep 05 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2007 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas craigm   Wed Sep 05 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2007 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas LoisCane   Wed Sep 05 2007 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas CDMOrlando   Wed Sep 05 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Felix teal61   Wed Sep 05 2007 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas doug   Wed Sep 05 2007 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 05 2007 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2007 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Steve H1   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Tampa   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas LoisCane   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas invest1   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:48 AM

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