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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas
      Wed Sep 05 2007 11:02 AM

The positive factors for development I really didn't mention before are the fact that there is a rather strong low level circulation, and the Dvorak T numbers actually support a tropical system now. But it still is incredibly sheared. Thankfully Recon will be out there soon enough to help make that determination.

The shearing, exposed center, and water vapor satellite loops show a huge negative for development, and that's why it's about 33%. Right now I don't think much of 99L. Tomorrow, however..


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 05 2007 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Marcus   Fri Sep 07 2007 05:21 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas John Mellonhead   Fri Sep 07 2007 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Thu Sep 06 2007 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas scottsvb   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Bastardicasting   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Sep 06 2007 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Lee-Delray   Thu Sep 06 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas hurrev   Thu Sep 06 2007 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas allan   Thu Sep 06 2007 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas hurrev   Thu Sep 06 2007 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas invest1   Thu Sep 06 2007 08:06 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas HanKFranK   Thu Sep 06 2007 07:37 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas BLTizzle   Thu Sep 06 2007 03:06 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Sep 06 2007 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 06 2007 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas BillD   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Sep 05 2007 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas DJINFLA   Wed Sep 05 2007 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2007 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas craigm   Wed Sep 05 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2007 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas LoisCane   Wed Sep 05 2007 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas CDMOrlando   Wed Sep 05 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Felix teal61   Wed Sep 05 2007 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas doug   Wed Sep 05 2007 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 05 2007 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 05 2007 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Steve H1   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Tampa   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas LoisCane   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas invest1   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Sep 05 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Disturbance off the Carolinas nc_tropical_wx79   Wed Sep 05 2007 09:48 AM

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