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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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TampaBayHurricaneChaser
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Posts: 2
Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching
      Fri Sep 07 2007 07:24 PM

99L is looking a lot better today, and I think that recon
may find a tropical depression. This is based on the system
being nonfrontal as the front has dissapated, so we should
see a warmer core. This system may threaten north carolina.

A greater concern for Florida and the Gulf of Mexico
might be the area of convection currently off florida's west
coast and in the eastern gulf of mexico. This area is associated
with a vigorous tropical wave that is migrating across
the gulf. I am not familiar with the current shear profiles
over the southern gulf, but I would expect perhaps
a niche to form between a sheared trough to the north and
shear to the west. Now if shear does lessen, I would expect
the potential for rapid development and intensification.
Convection is already concentrated and the system
looks fairly organized. Though a tropical wave, it bears
very close watching by all interests in Florida and along the
Gulf Coast. If shear lessens a tropical storm is possible

What opinions do others have regarding the status of the gulf of
mexico tropical wave?.

Edited by TampaBayHurricaneChaser (Fri Sep 07 2007 07:27 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 07 2007 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Ed in Va   Sat Sep 08 2007 02:35 AM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching CarolinaGurl   Sat Sep 08 2007 02:34 AM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching cieldumort   Sat Sep 08 2007 01:53 AM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Hugh   Sat Sep 08 2007 12:55 AM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching BillD   Sat Sep 08 2007 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Hugh   Sat Sep 08 2007 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching cieldumort   Fri Sep 07 2007 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 07 2007 09:44 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching ltpat228   Fri Sep 07 2007 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Hugh   Fri Sep 07 2007 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Ed in Va   Fri Sep 07 2007 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching cieldumort   Fri Sep 07 2007 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching WeatherNut   Fri Sep 07 2007 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching TampaBayHurricaneChaser   Fri Sep 07 2007 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching troy2   Fri Sep 07 2007 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2007 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Recon tartan372   Fri Sep 07 2007 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching NewWatcher   Fri Sep 07 2007 05:53 PM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2007 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2007 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching allan   Fri Sep 07 2007 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching ElizabethH   Fri Sep 07 2007 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching LoisCane   Fri Sep 07 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching punkyg   Fri Sep 07 2007 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Beaumont, TX   Fri Sep 07 2007 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching WeatherNut   Fri Sep 07 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching cieldumort   Fri Sep 07 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L, Worth Watching Ed in Va   Fri Sep 07 2007 01:51 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L jbmusic   Fri Sep 07 2007 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 07 2007 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L Ed in Va   Fri Sep 07 2007 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Make or Break for 99L MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 07 2007 12:52 PM

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