F

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

Invest 94L Click for Invest Information from CIMSS

Click for Invest Information from CIMSS

HypeScale: 1.2

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 1710

Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas
Sun Sep 09 2007 02:56 AM

Where's Gabrielle? Seems like everyone is having trouble with it tonight.

The 11pm NHC discussion mentioned that the low level center appeared to be displaced from a mid-level center that spun-up in the convective flare-up earlier this evening. The latest recon fix confirmed this. Satellite isn't a good tool to be using for finding a center at night given these considerations; you simply cannot see the low-levels. Even the available radars -- Wilmington and Morehead City, NC -- are looking at 11000ft+ and 6000ft+, respectively. Despite that, they do show the remnant midlevel circulation to the WSW/SW of the actual low-level center, just now coming into view on Morehead City radar and as fixed by recon lately.

As for QuikSCAT -- that pass is a few hours old and the high-res pass and ambiguities both suggest the center is in the NE area of that broader circulation, which would be consistent back to around 7p ET when the pass captured the storm.

Is it possible that the low level center can or will reform underneath that convective flareup? Perhaps. But, it has not yet done so and the convective flareup -- and associated mid-level center -- appear to be weakening from latest radar trends. Overall, focus on the recon fixes and what radar tell you before anything from satellite, especially given the eclipse period of the satellite during this time of the evening.

Hope this helps clear the confusion on Gabrielle.

NOTE on 90L: please take all 90L discussion to the Storm Forum and Forecast Lounge for now. Let's keep things on topic for our landfalling storm in this thread; 90L is currently broad, disorganized, and there's not a lot to suggest development from it in the next day or two. If you'd like to discuss it as a future threat, please check out the thread in the Forecast Lounge. Once Gabrielle moves out or development looks more likely from 90L (currently it is fairly low on the development scale), we'll open things up a bit more. Thanks for your cooperation.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Gabrielle heads for North Carolina	MikeC	Sun Sep 09 2007 02:56 AM
Other Systems	danielw	Sun Sep 09 2007 12:39 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	craigm	Sun Sep 09 2007 09:56 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	syfr	Sun Sep 09 2007 07:11 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 09 2007 03:21 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Clark	Sun Sep 09 2007 02:56 AM
Re: 90L	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 09 2007 02:51 AM
90L	ltpat228	Sun Sep 09 2007 02:16 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 09 2007 02:04 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:59 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Beach	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:56 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	flahurricane	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:47 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	ltpat228	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:36 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	LoisCane	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:33 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:33 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:26 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	nc_tropical_wx79	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:23 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Random Chaos	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:19 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Storm Hunter	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:17 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	nc_tropical_wx79	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:14 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	flahurricane	Sun Sep 09 2007 01:09 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Beach	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:30 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	ltpat228	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:29 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	nc_tropical_wx79	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:25 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Beach	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:21 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Lamar-Plant City	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:15 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	nc_tropical_wx79	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:13 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	nc_tropical_wx79	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:07 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	StrmTrckrMiami	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:07 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Hugh	Sat Sep 08 2007 10:55 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sat Sep 08 2007 10:53 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	nc_tropical_wx79	Sat Sep 08 2007 10:43 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Seaworthy991	Sat Sep 08 2007 10:33 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Beach	Sat Sep 08 2007 10:24 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	allan	Sat Sep 08 2007 07:38 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	JY381	Sat Sep 08 2007 06:56 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	madmumbler	Sat Sep 08 2007 05:41 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	cieldumort	Sat Sep 08 2007 02:56 PM
Re: take, etc.	weather_wise911	Sat Sep 08 2007 02:52 PM
Re: take, etc.	Wxwatcher2	Sat Sep 08 2007 02:13 PM
Re: take, etc.	weather999	Sat Sep 08 2007 01:49 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	scottsvb	Sat Sep 08 2007 12:26 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	Lamar-Plant City	Sat Sep 08 2007 11:53 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	MM	Sat Sep 08 2007 10:56 AM
Re: take, etc.	Ed in Va	Sat Sep 08 2007 10:16 AM
Re: take, etc.	dem05	Sat Sep 08 2007 06:34 AM
Re: take, etc.	flahurricane	Sat Sep 08 2007 02:42 AM
Re: take, etc.	scottsvb	Sat Sep 08 2007 02:10 AM
take, etc.	HanKFranK	Sat Sep 08 2007 01:14 AM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	punkyg	Fri Sep 07 2007 11:00 PM
Re: Subtropical Storm Gabrielle Forms Southeast of the Carolinas	typhoon_tip	Fri Sep 07 2007 10:57 PM

Extra information

0 registered and 50 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:

Thread views: 18658

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center