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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
suspcious but slow
      Sun Sep 09 2007 09:10 PM

gabrielle has thundered ashore as a monstrous 50-mph tropical storm, crossing the sound and peninsula areas west of the outer banks. for some reason it left all of its convection at morehead city. there isn't much that can be said for it... thanks to an upper low diving off and sitting on it for most of the week, the storm never got well organized and developed very slowly. i maybe earned a cookie with a side of crow on that one.
it's september 9th, so naturally the season is trying to put on it's peak-time show. like most are saying, 91L has the best chances to develop in the long term, due to location and organization. it should do so slowly, probably not becoming a named system until it gets a bit past 40w. the islands need to watch it for late week, as it may be a maturing system by then.
of more immediate concern, but less certainty are the gulf invest 90L and 92L northeast of the leeward islands. 90L gets a good grade for persistence, but a bad one on execution. the upper winds over the gulf aren't helping, but even a weak system could cause a lot of trouble in texas due to it having something akin to a summer monsoon season. it's chances are weak, but it won't have to do much.
92L has some unpleasant early guidance taking it to the east coast of florida, and that sort of track would likely verify with ridging to the north strengthening. it isn't overtly developing as of yet, but has shown a good lengthy convective burst and some tendency to develop outflow aloft--the synoptic pattern will favor it if it starts to develop, so it's worthy of concern, if not immediately threatening.
odd first-half count on the season. five tropcial storms and two category five hurricanes. beam me up, mr scott.
HF 2110z09september

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics MikeCAdministrator Sun Sep 09 2007 09:10 PM
. * * Tropics TeamJP2002   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:15 AM
. * * Re: now and then cieldumort   Wed Sep 12 2007 02:11 AM
. * * Re: now and then tekkrite   Wed Sep 12 2007 02:09 AM
. * * Re: now and then Hugh   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:52 AM
. * * now and then HanKFranK   Tue Sep 11 2007 10:13 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Tue Sep 11 2007 10:05 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 11 2007 09:59 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Tue Sep 11 2007 09:38 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics punkyg   Tue Sep 11 2007 09:27 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 11 2007 08:28 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics LoisCane   Tue Sep 11 2007 07:38 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics punkyg   Tue Sep 11 2007 07:36 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics cieldumort   Tue Sep 11 2007 06:56 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Tue Sep 11 2007 04:20 PM
. * * 90 And 92L Removed Monday 9-10-07 ltpat228   Tue Sep 11 2007 04:04 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM weather999   Tue Sep 11 2007 03:45 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM HanKFranK   Mon Sep 10 2007 11:48 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM weatherguy08   Mon Sep 10 2007 09:17 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM RayRayfromLa   Mon Sep 10 2007 09:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM weatherguy08   Mon Sep 10 2007 08:51 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM LoisCane   Mon Sep 10 2007 08:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM Ed in Va   Mon Sep 10 2007 07:40 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM scottsvb   Mon Sep 10 2007 07:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM tumbleman   Mon Sep 10 2007 06:16 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM Ed in Va   Mon Sep 10 2007 05:58 PM
. * * 92L and GOM danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2007 05:12 PM
. * * What was 92L... Beach   Mon Sep 10 2007 04:21 PM
. * * 90L and 92L Removed ltpat228   Mon Sep 10 2007 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Very Busy Week in the Tropics drohner   Mon Sep 10 2007 10:36 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow cieldumort   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:58 AM
. * * 91L getting better organized punkyg   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:41 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow typhoon_tip   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:10 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow typhoon_tip   Mon Sep 10 2007 01:16 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow HanKFranK   Mon Sep 10 2007 01:12 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow TampaBayHurricaneChaser   Sun Sep 09 2007 11:05 PM
. * * suspcious but slow HanKFranK   Sun Sep 09 2007 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Very Busy Week in the Tropics Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 09 2007 05:26 PM

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