F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User


Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: 92L and GOM
      Mon Sep 10 2007 11:48 PM

gabrielle is departing, maybe strengthening slightly.. but what little worry it had to offer has come and gone.
90L has some definite turning with it. it has had weak/broad cyclonic motion for days, but now seems to have focused it a bit more east/southeast of brownsville. what is out there is moving slowly westward... if anything develops it would be caught sort of in weak steering and it's hard to say where exactly a system would go. early on a northeastward motion would make sense with the shortwave passing by presently, but afterwards a quick pulse of ridging could easily block it, and keep it offshore. i get the idea that it's starting to develop based on presentation.
91L will probably beat the others to be the next system. most of the early guidance takes it generally westward... the gfdl and hwrf move it nw. the dynamic models are probably right until the thing develops.. then it's usually something in-between. that huge wheelhouse ridge from last month doesn't seem to be together anymore, so i doubt it's another straight-west type system in the works.
92L has the smallest chances. the convection popped back up today, south of yesterday's fierce burst. synoptic conditions aren't wrong for something to develop there, but there isn't much of a place to start in terms of a surface feature. the bursts may amount to nothing or they may help get something started. it looks like this disturbance will be in a favorable location, with regional scale pressure falls, later in the week as it nears florida. assuming it hasn't done anything prior to this, there may be some superior conditons for something to get started. the way things are going that is pure speculation at this point.
probably will have something classifyable by late tomorrow, almost surely something on wednesday. this time of year it's unusual for things to remain quiet for very long... by the time we're finally rid of gabrielle something should be there to take it's place.
HF 2348z10september

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 10 2007 11:48 PM
. * * Tropics TeamJP2002   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:15 AM
. * * Re: now and then cieldumort   Wed Sep 12 2007 02:11 AM
. * * Re: now and then tekkrite   Wed Sep 12 2007 02:09 AM
. * * Re: now and then Hugh   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:52 AM
. * * now and then HanKFranK   Tue Sep 11 2007 10:13 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Tue Sep 11 2007 10:05 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 11 2007 09:59 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Tue Sep 11 2007 09:38 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics punkyg   Tue Sep 11 2007 09:27 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics Beaumont, TX   Tue Sep 11 2007 08:28 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics LoisCane   Tue Sep 11 2007 07:38 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics punkyg   Tue Sep 11 2007 07:36 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics cieldumort   Tue Sep 11 2007 06:56 PM
. * * Re: (Not a) Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Tue Sep 11 2007 04:20 PM
. * * 90 And 92L Removed Monday 9-10-07 ltpat228   Tue Sep 11 2007 04:04 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM weather999   Tue Sep 11 2007 03:45 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM HanKFranK   Mon Sep 10 2007 11:48 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM weatherguy08   Mon Sep 10 2007 09:17 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM RayRayfromLa   Mon Sep 10 2007 09:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM weatherguy08   Mon Sep 10 2007 08:51 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM LoisCane   Mon Sep 10 2007 08:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM Ed in Va   Mon Sep 10 2007 07:40 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM scottsvb   Mon Sep 10 2007 07:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM tumbleman   Mon Sep 10 2007 06:16 PM
. * * Re: 92L and GOM Ed in Va   Mon Sep 10 2007 05:58 PM
. * * 92L and GOM danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 10 2007 05:12 PM
. * * What was 92L... Beach   Mon Sep 10 2007 04:21 PM
. * * 90L and 92L Removed ltpat228   Mon Sep 10 2007 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Very Busy Week in the Tropics allan   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Very Busy Week in the Tropics drohner   Mon Sep 10 2007 10:36 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow cieldumort   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:58 AM
. * * 91L getting better organized punkyg   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:41 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow typhoon_tip   Mon Sep 10 2007 02:10 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow typhoon_tip   Mon Sep 10 2007 01:16 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow HanKFranK   Mon Sep 10 2007 01:12 AM
. * * Re: suspcious but slow TampaBayHurricaneChaser   Sun Sep 09 2007 11:05 PM
. * * suspcious but slow HanKFranK   Sun Sep 09 2007 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Very Busy Week in the Tropics Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 09 2007 05:26 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 27 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 23255

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center