HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
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now and then
Tue Sep 11 2007 06:13 PM
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down to two invests.. 92L doesn't really exist any more, though if you extrapolate the track of it's wave it should be in an area of synoptically forced-pressure falls off the east coast late week. it would be something different, but may be a focal point of sorts.
90L off texas refuses to organize. sure, you can track a coherent disturbance and low level rotation back to last week; the convection flares and reflares, but it never takes the next step. several of the globals track it but none do much more with it. possible it will move up to the coast, turn northeast, get blocked and forced southwest later. it may linger longer, but if past development trends are any hint, it won't matter. now, it is going to rain some in coastal texas...
91L is the 'real' story of the day. modeling is mostly taking it northwest, then more westward as the western atlantic becomes a bastion of ridging, with a weakness just east of florida. the system appears to be grudgingly developing... so if the early modeling is any hint, this could be one of those systems that the worries the east coast next week. still on the early side... can't buy into guidance like that just yet.
got a hunch we may have more to fester both near cuba and behind 91L later in the week. that's just what the globals are suggesting, anyhow.
hmmm... september 11th six years ago, we had erin and felix active, and gabrielle forming the the gulf. this year, we have gabrielle bowing out. it isn't for what was going on in the tropics that this date stands out in our minds, though...
HF 2213z11september
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