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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 307 (Idalia) , Major: 307 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 307 (Idalia) Major: 307 (Idalia)
16.1N 71.7W
Wind: 150MPH
Pres: 943mb
Moving:
Wnw at 22 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Steve
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean
      Wed Sep 12 2007 01:14 PM

Rainfall is already over 6" in some of coastal Jefferson County, TX. I'm interested to see if the system is moving N @ 6mph (+/-350 on the 10am advisory). Additional time over water, though not necessarily allowing for any marked strengthening, could allow for some piling up rainfall rates in the Golden Triangle (Orange, Beaumont, Port Arthur) area and into Lake Charles. There's a giant swath of moisture on the eastern side of the system which could mean close to a foot in some sections of coastal SW LA (talking Cameron, Vermillion and Iberia Parishes). Those areas and coastal SE Texas have hurricane local statements up on the Lake Charles NWS Homepage.

My call is for a +/- 50mph Tropical Storm to landfall east of High Island, Texas. What happens after that is anyone's guess. Some possibilities include splitting of the upper and lower cirulations with the upper support heading off NE with the front and lower moisture backing off SW with the trough split to a slow moving system heading up toward northern Mississippi with lots of Gulf moisture out front of it.

Steve

--------------------
MF'n Super Bowl Champions

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 12 2007 01:14 PM
. * * Re: cluster allan   Sat Sep 15 2007 11:26 AM
. * * cluster HanKFranK   Sat Sep 15 2007 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast tekkrite   Sat Sep 15 2007 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast Lamar-Plant City   Sat Sep 15 2007 09:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast madmumbler   Sat Sep 15 2007 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 15 2007 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast craigm   Sat Sep 15 2007 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast Robert   Sat Sep 15 2007 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast scottsvb   Fri Sep 14 2007 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast jessiej   Fri Sep 14 2007 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Sep 14 2007 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast syfr   Fri Sep 14 2007 07:55 PM
. * * Re: H-I storms Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 14 2007 07:43 PM
. * * Re: H-I storms StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Sep 14 2007 07:33 PM
. * * H-I storms HanKFranK   Fri Sep 14 2007 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands cieldumort   Fri Sep 14 2007 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms, Humberto's remnants drench the southeast typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 14 2007 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 14 2007 12:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands Ed in Va   Fri Sep 14 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 14 2007 05:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands cieldumort   Fri Sep 14 2007 04:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands flahurricane   Thu Sep 13 2007 11:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands BillD   Thu Sep 13 2007 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands dem05   Thu Sep 13 2007 10:16 PM
. * * Tropical Storm Ingrid forms east of islands Hugh   Thu Sep 13 2007 09:26 PM
. * * Re: humberto out, 8 out? Hootowl   Thu Sep 13 2007 09:11 PM
. * * Re: humberto out, 8 out? ftlaudbob   Thu Sep 13 2007 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall M.A.   Thu Sep 13 2007 06:29 PM
. * * humberto out, 8 out? HanKFranK   Thu Sep 13 2007 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall craigm   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall Random Chaos   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall charlottefl   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall damejune2   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall craigm   Thu Sep 13 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall JFV   Thu Sep 13 2007 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall weather999   Thu Sep 13 2007 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall louisianatracker   Thu Sep 13 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall pcola   Thu Sep 13 2007 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall allan   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall tekkrite   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 11:49 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall ChessieStorm   Thu Sep 13 2007 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall Chris Bryant   Thu Sep 13 2007 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto weatherguy08   Thu Sep 13 2007 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto JayBowden   Thu Sep 13 2007 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto madmumbler   Thu Sep 13 2007 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto OUSHAWN   Thu Sep 13 2007 08:54 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto allan   Thu Sep 13 2007 08:07 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall Hugh   Thu Sep 13 2007 07:59 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall weatherguy08   Thu Sep 13 2007 07:22 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall Beaumont, TX   Thu Sep 13 2007 06:28 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall Random Chaos   Thu Sep 13 2007 06:09 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall charlottefl   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:08 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Landfall Beaumont, TX   Thu Sep 13 2007 05:01 AM
. * * Humberto Landfall danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 03:31 AM
. * * Re: SE Texas cieldumort   Thu Sep 13 2007 03:26 AM
. * * Re: SE Texas Beaumont, TX   Thu Sep 13 2007 03:07 AM
. * * Re: SE Texas danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:42 AM
. * * Re: SE Texas Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:33 AM
. * * SE Texas danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean ltpat228   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Tornado Watch charlottefl   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:26 AM
. * * Tornado Watch danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean ltpat228   Thu Sep 13 2007 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto cieldumort   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:56 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto scottsvb   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:44 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Humberto danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:44 AM
. * * Hurricane Humberto danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:39 AM
. * * Dewpoint Inop danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? flahurricane   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:31 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:12 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? charlottefl   Thu Sep 13 2007 01:04 AM
. * * Re: Humberto Upgrade??? Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:56 AM
. * * Humberto Upgrade??? danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean charlottefl   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 13 2007 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Hugh   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Lamar-Plant City   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean cieldumort   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean scottsvb   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean allan   Wed Sep 12 2007 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 12 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Hurricane29   Wed Sep 12 2007 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean allan   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Humberto Forms in Gulf of Mexico, Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean cieldumort   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:28 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends anomaly18   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:26 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:25 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends WeatherNLU   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:17 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:15 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends anomaly18   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:11 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:03 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends Random Chaos   Wed Sep 12 2007 07:40 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends Hugh   Wed Sep 12 2007 07:33 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends Random Chaos   Wed Sep 12 2007 07:01 PM
. * * Re: humberto and friends Todd   Wed Sep 12 2007 06:55 PM
. * * humberto and friends HanKFranK   Wed Sep 12 2007 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Humberto Random Chaos   Wed Sep 12 2007 05:32 PM
. * * Humberto danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2007 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean allan   Wed Sep 12 2007 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Clark   Wed Sep 12 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Humberto Bloodstar   Wed Sep 12 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 12 2007 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 12 2007 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Lee-Delray   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Lee-Delray   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico ltpat228   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Bloodstar   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Wed Sep 12 2007 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Wed Sep 12 2007 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico scottsvb   Wed Sep 12 2007 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Wed Sep 12 2007 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms East of Caribbean, Tropical Depression 9 Forms in Gulf of Mexico allan   Wed Sep 12 2007 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Steve   Wed Sep 12 2007 01:14 PM
. * * TD 8 danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2007 01:11 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:42 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Allison   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean ltpat228   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean 7 Deadly Zins   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Thunderbird12   Wed Sep 12 2007 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean scottsvb   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean WeatherNLU   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 12 2007 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Ed in Va   Wed Sep 12 2007 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean stormchazer   Wed Sep 12 2007 10:26 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 12 2007 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Ed in Va   Wed Sep 12 2007 10:19 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Lee-Delray   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Ed in Va   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean. Gulf Low May Form into Depression Today JayJ   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:37 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean. Gulf Low May Form into Depression Today 7 Deadly Zins   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean. Gulf Low May Form into Depression Today OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Lee-Delray   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean Ed in Va   Wed Sep 12 2007 09:11 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean. Gulf Low May Form into Depression Today Beaumont, TX   Wed Sep 12 2007 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean punkyg   Wed Sep 12 2007 08:47 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean cieldumort   Wed Sep 12 2007 04:45 AM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean flnelson   Tue Sep 11 2007 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean scottsvb   Tue Sep 11 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching Wave East of the Caribbean allan   Tue Sep 11 2007 10:30 PM

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