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Area in the Eastern Atlantic up to 40% chance to develop. Those in the leeward/Winward islands of the Caribbean should watch closely for Sun/Mon. 94L at 20% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas
      Mon Sep 17 2007 03:40 PM

Yeah Ingrids chances are very low... my main area is what you stated in the carribean. The area over florida isnt in the LLs just in the mid. With bad upper level enviroment throughout the SW Atlantic and into the Carribean...conditions dont favor really anything until the central gulf in a few days. Chances I give Ingrid is 20% The midlevel circulation will move SE and develop a small low near the FL straits and move W. Cold Air aloft should warm and we will get a midlevel ridge over the SE ahead of a trough over the upper plains. This should let the system get alot better organized as it moves west thru the gulf. I give that a 60%. Im still glancing at energy staying in the carribean with lower pressures but will shear from the above system hamper development or not is 1 of a few questions... 30% chance on this.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 17 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Ingrid...she's back danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:04 AM
. * * Re: Canadian Model and other Discussions ltpat228   Mon Sep 17 2007 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Canadian Model and other Discussions danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 17 2007 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Canadian Model and other Discussions ltpat228   Mon Sep 17 2007 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Canadian Model and other Discussions Beaumont, TX   Mon Sep 17 2007 09:51 PM
. * * Canadian Model and other Discussions danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 17 2007 07:19 PM
. * * Re: You have to love that crazy Canadian Model allan   Mon Sep 17 2007 04:04 PM
. * * You have to love that crazy Canadian Model OrlandoHurricane   Mon Sep 17 2007 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas scottsvb   Mon Sep 17 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas doug   Mon Sep 17 2007 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas Lee-Delray   Mon Sep 17 2007 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas scottsvb   Mon Sep 17 2007 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas Todd Caldwell   Mon Sep 17 2007 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas Lee-Delray   Mon Sep 17 2007 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas scottsvb   Mon Sep 17 2007 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas Todd Caldwell   Mon Sep 17 2007 11:25 AM
. * * Re: september, week three Lee-Delray   Mon Sep 17 2007 10:37 AM
. * * Re: september, week three 7 Deadly Zins   Sun Sep 16 2007 09:35 PM
. * * Re: september, week three Hugh   Sun Sep 16 2007 09:15 PM
. * * Re: september, week three Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 16 2007 09:07 PM
. * * Re: september, week three Hugh   Sun Sep 16 2007 08:51 PM
. * * Re: september, week three jessiej   Sun Sep 16 2007 08:29 PM
. * * Re: september, week three madmumbler   Sun Sep 16 2007 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Models Showing Tropical Cyclone Later This Week cieldumort   Sun Sep 16 2007 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Models Showing Tropical Cyclone Later This Week Hugh   Sun Sep 16 2007 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Models Showing Tropical Cyclone Later This Week CDMOrlando   Sun Sep 16 2007 01:52 PM
. * * september, week three HanKFranK   Sun Sep 16 2007 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas weathernet   Sun Sep 16 2007 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas Bruce   Sun Sep 16 2007 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas madmumbler   Sun Sep 16 2007 09:45 AM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas flahurricane   Sun Sep 16 2007 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Ingrid a Depression, Likely No Threat to US, Watching Other Areas cieldumort   Sun Sep 16 2007 02:07 AM
. * * Re: Models Showing Tropical Cyclone Later This Week Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 15 2007 03:15 PM
. * * Models Showing Tropical Cyclone Later This Week OrlandoHurricane   Sat Sep 15 2007 03:01 PM

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