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Invest 95L is now being tracked in the central Atlantic, with a 40% chance to develop and very strong model support. Those in the Lesser Antilles of the Caribbean should watch it closely Sunday/Monday. 94L at 20% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast.
      Wed Sep 19 2007 10:11 PM

The vortex actually is already inland, and has been so far an hour or two, based upon Melbourne radar. If it's going to dissipate, it needs to do so in a hurry - looks like it is approaching Orlando very soon, and that's 20% of the way into the Gulf, I estimate (maybe only 15%).

Having said that, the scenario of the ULL transitioning to a subtropical cyclone does seem more realistic. I give it 55% chance currently.


--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


Edited by Hugh (Wed Sep 19 2007 10:12 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 19 2007 10:11 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U pcola   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U madmumbler   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:16 AM
. * * 93L and 93U danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:46 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. flahurricane   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Hurricane29   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. SirCane   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Hugh   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. dem05   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. weathernet   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. craigm   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Old Sailor   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Rasvar   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. pcola   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. h2ocean   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. tekkrite   Wed Sep 19 2007 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. SirCane   Wed Sep 19 2007 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Hugh   Wed Sep 19 2007 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. pcola   Wed Sep 19 2007 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. doug   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. ChessieStorm   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. anomaly18   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. scottsvb   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. madmumbler   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. doug   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Fletch   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. metwannabe   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. DrewC   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Marknole   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. WeatherNut   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. metwannabe   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. craigm   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. scottsvb   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. charlottefl   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:23 AM
. * * Models weatherguy08   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. weathernet   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:33 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. NewWatcher   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. flarrfan   Wed Sep 19 2007 06:30 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:04 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour scottsvb   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:24 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour dem05   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Davida G   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:32 AM
. * * Bahamas Observations-Last hour danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:23 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:58 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. LoisCane   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:25 AM
. * * Ingrid Showing a Pulse this Evening OrlandoHurricane   Tue Sep 18 2007 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Old Sailor   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Robert   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. debris   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Robert   Tue Sep 18 2007 07:18 PM
. * * Western Bahamas Buoy lunkerhunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 18 2007 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:24 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas scottsvb   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:24 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas scottsvb   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:03 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:49 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Tony Cristaldi   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:47 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas doug   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. hurricane expert   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:29 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:21 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas ftlaudbob   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:19 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas scottsvb   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:10 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Hurricane29   Tue Sep 18 2007 01:37 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas hurricane expert   Tue Sep 18 2007 01:24 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas typhoon_tip   Tue Sep 18 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 12:43 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas craigm   Tue Sep 18 2007 12:17 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 11:47 AM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas doug   Tue Sep 18 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas jojoindian6   Tue Sep 18 2007 10:32 AM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas weathernet   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:41 AM

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