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#Beryl strengthening east of the Caribbean Islands, may be a hurricane tomorrow. Barbados is now under a Hurricane Watch as Beryl may be there Monday. Area east of Beryl up to 60% and 94L at 40%.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#3A 1:00 pm EDT
9.8N 46.8W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2331
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast.
      Wed Sep 19 2007 10:40 PM

Eh. This might be some matter of semantics in the end.. but for the sake of continuity, 93L officially is and has been the LLC off the east coast that tracked inland this evening. For reference, NRL currently centers 93L as:
93LINVEST.25kts-1007mb-285N-809W

and SSD is tracking 93L at:
20/ 15 UTC 28.4N 80.7W TOO WEAK 93L

and NHC is tracking 93L as:
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA.

For all of the internet chatter about 93L being what is in all actually still just the center of the parent ULL with some convection and a mild surface reflection, the main player tonight has just moved inland and is crossing north Florida.

All sorts of data back up a "landfall" of a 1005 mb surface low near Merritt Island. This coc has, if anything, tightened into landfall. Additionally, winds are ramping up into the night from the sun going down, as there is no longer a great deal of mixing going on. Also, the heavier rains are really coming in now, especially on the north side of the surface low (93L).

The real questions here are - does this low remain the dominant player - if so, it may never have enough time over water to really develop a whole lot, if it continues WNW or NW, and roughly into the panhandle. Or, as others have suggested, does it get ingested into the subtle restructuring going on under the ULL. Or, does it weaken, and allow the faint surface reflection under the ULL to take hold.

Lots of questions, and no real answers, just yet.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. MikeCAdministrator Wed Sep 19 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U pcola   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U madmumbler   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:47 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 93U Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:16 AM
. * * 93L and 93U danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:46 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. flahurricane   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Hurricane29   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. SirCane   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Hugh   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. dem05   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. weathernet   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. craigm   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Old Sailor   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Rasvar   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. pcola   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. h2ocean   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. tekkrite   Wed Sep 19 2007 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. SirCane   Wed Sep 19 2007 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Hugh   Wed Sep 19 2007 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. pcola   Wed Sep 19 2007 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. doug   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. ChessieStorm   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. anomaly18   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. scottsvb   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. madmumbler   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. doug   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Fletch   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. metwannabe   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. DrewC   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Marknole   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. WeatherNut   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. metwannabe   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. craigm   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. scottsvb   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. charlottefl   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:23 AM
. * * Models weatherguy08   Wed Sep 19 2007 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. weathernet   Wed Sep 19 2007 09:33 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. NewWatcher   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:16 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Wed Sep 19 2007 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. flarrfan   Wed Sep 19 2007 06:30 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 04:04 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour scottsvb   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:24 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour cieldumort   Wed Sep 19 2007 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas Observations-Last hour dem05   Wed Sep 19 2007 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Davida G   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:32 AM
. * * Bahamas Observations-Last hour danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:23 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L Storm Hunter   Wed Sep 19 2007 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:58 AM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. LoisCane   Wed Sep 19 2007 12:25 AM
. * * Ingrid Showing a Pulse this Evening OrlandoHurricane   Tue Sep 18 2007 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Old Sailor   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Robert   Tue Sep 18 2007 09:09 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. debris   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Robert   Tue Sep 18 2007 07:18 PM
. * * Western Bahamas Buoy lunkerhunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 18 2007 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:24 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas scottsvb   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:24 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas scottsvb   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:03 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 03:00 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:49 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Tony Cristaldi   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:47 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas doug   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: Watching 93L close to the Florida east Coast. hurricane expert   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:29 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:21 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas ftlaudbob   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:19 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas scottsvb   Tue Sep 18 2007 02:10 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas Hurricane29   Tue Sep 18 2007 01:37 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas hurricane expert   Tue Sep 18 2007 01:24 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas typhoon_tip   Tue Sep 18 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 12:43 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas craigm   Tue Sep 18 2007 12:17 PM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas allan   Tue Sep 18 2007 11:47 AM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas doug   Tue Sep 18 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas jojoindian6   Tue Sep 18 2007 10:32 AM
. * * Re: No Storms, But Watching a Few Areas weathernet   Tue Sep 18 2007 08:41 AM

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