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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 56 (Milton) , Major: 56 (Milton) Florida - Any: 56 (Milton) Major: 56 (Milton)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Gulf of Mexico System
      Thu Sep 20 2007 12:06 PM

I still just dont see this storm being a tropical storm.....subtropical...probably...but the upper low that will die out with still have some lingering affects in the mid-levels...GFS 300mb maps continue to show no ridging over the area. A strong anti-cyclone in the upper levels will dominate over the eastern 1/3 of the country and off the east coast...taking anything wnw towards the Panhandle-LA. Current data and models are showing a subtropical system between 1006-1009mb coming onshore in that region....due to the warm ocean content of 84-86dg...I would think it might drop as low as 1003mb before landfall and winds 45-50mph.. but still not having that right mid-upperlevel conditions will hamper this from becoming a strong TS or weak hurricane.

On a side note for true tropical activity my area of concern that I mentioned a few days back in the western carribean is coming on. Pressures are around 1010mb just east of Nicaragua... GFS is picking up on the small low and making this a TS in the central gulf and following 93L above. This will be more tropical as the mid-upperlevels will be somewhat conducive....but once it enters the gulf...some shear from our subtropical storm over LA might hamper this some also. Still this system has the best chance of becoming a true tropical system over the next 2-3days.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD 10 Drifts Inland - Nothing Else of Significance MikeCAdministrator Thu Sep 20 2007 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System WeatherNut   Sat Sep 22 2007 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System madmumbler   Sat Sep 22 2007 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Beach   Sat Sep 22 2007 08:34 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Colleen A.   Sat Sep 22 2007 01:59 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System allan   Sat Sep 22 2007 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:25 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Kal   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:16 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Kal   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:11 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:54 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:43 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 09:52 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 09:47 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 08:11 PM
. * * Tropical Depression Ten making landfall near Fort Walton Beach Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Genesis   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:01 PM
. * * Onshore now? Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 21 2007 06:46 PM
. * * WJHG-TV Live Stream wxman007   Fri Sep 21 2007 06:33 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 06:16 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 wxman007   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:32 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Other areas Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Other areas weather999   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 10 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 10 Clark   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:58 PM
. * * TD 10 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Other areas Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Other areas danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 10 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:35 PM
. * * Tropical Depression 10 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico La Nimo   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico HCW   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico WeatherNut   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico OUSHAWN   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Wingman51   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System craigm   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Ed in Va   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Colleen A.   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System craigm   Fri Sep 21 2007 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System OUSHAWN   Fri Sep 21 2007 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:25 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System flahurricane   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:18 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:14 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System charlottefl   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 01:46 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Clark   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Clark   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hugh   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hugh   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hugh   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System allan   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hurricane29   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System weather_wise911   Thu Sep 20 2007 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System ChessieStorm   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System doug   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System srquirrely   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:07 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System ElizabethH   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:00 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System metwannabe   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:18 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hurricane29   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System OUSHAWN   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System craigm   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System doug   Thu Sep 20 2007 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Ed in Va   Thu Sep 20 2007 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System OUSHAWN   Thu Sep 20 2007 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System mikethewreck   Thu Sep 20 2007 07:05 AM

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