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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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dem05
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Reged:
Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: Gulf of Mexico System
      Fri Sep 21 2007 12:02 AM

Between Clark, Hunter, Hugh, the NHC Outlook...Probably been put in my place a bit for good reason. I think Clark would agree that the NWS has a slogan of track it til it is gine whe it comes to severe weather events and needless to say, 93L is not gone so 0% may be overzellous on my part. Reformation/restacking is definately not impossible either...I just decided that if something happened in that department, development might not have enough time based on cold core/warm core transition process...That's the specific point where I could be very wrong if something develops.

As Clark pointed out, there are not a lot of good night vision friends out there tonight. Our best one may be the shortwave...On it, I can still pickup a very...very weak signature of a low off of Tampa that the NHC comments on in the TWO. If everyone in the Florida Penninsula faced west and sneezed...it is small enough that it could dissipate or get shoved intothe "Hot Pocket" (Now that is just me trying to be funny here). That said, you decide, here is a link of the shortwave loop ( http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html ), notice the very...very small vorticity west of Tampa. Also notice how the overall flow is changing...The rest of the gang may be up on a possible reformation.

I hit the nail on the head with this bugger last night...but I get the feeling that it'smy turn toget fooled tonight. That said...I'll up the anty to a 15% chance of development...but I still don't think it has the right stuff and I'd be cuatious to go any higher. Anyhow and as well advertised...Name, no-name...the end effects will be the same. That said, prepare for and expect some showery/stormy weather from SE Louisiana to the North Part of Florida.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD 10 Drifts Inland - Nothing Else of Significance MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 21 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System WeatherNut   Sat Sep 22 2007 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System madmumbler   Sat Sep 22 2007 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Beach   Sat Sep 22 2007 08:34 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Colleen A.   Sat Sep 22 2007 01:59 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System allan   Sat Sep 22 2007 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:25 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Kal   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:16 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Kal   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:11 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:54 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:43 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 09:52 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 09:47 PM
. * * Re: WJHG-TV Live Stream Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 08:11 PM
. * * Tropical Depression Ten making landfall near Fort Walton Beach Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Genesis   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Onshore now? Hugh   Fri Sep 21 2007 07:01 PM
. * * Onshore now? Wxwatcher2   Fri Sep 21 2007 06:46 PM
. * * WJHG-TV Live Stream wxman007   Fri Sep 21 2007 06:33 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 06:16 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 wxman007   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:32 PM
. * * Re: TD 10 mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Other areas Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Other areas weather999   Fri Sep 21 2007 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 10 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 10 Clark   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:58 PM
. * * TD 10 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Other areas Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Other areas danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 10 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:35 PM
. * * Tropical Depression 10 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Clark   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico La Nimo   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico HCW   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico WeatherNut   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico pcola   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:39 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico OUSHAWN   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 10 Forms in Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Wingman51   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System craigm   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Ed in Va   Fri Sep 21 2007 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Lee-Delray   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Trekman   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Colleen A.   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System mbfly   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System craigm   Fri Sep 21 2007 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System OUSHAWN   Fri Sep 21 2007 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 03:25 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System flahurricane   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:18 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:14 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System charlottefl   Fri Sep 21 2007 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 21 2007 01:46 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Clark   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Fri Sep 21 2007 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Clark   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hugh   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hugh   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hugh   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System allan   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hurricane29   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System weather_wise911   Thu Sep 20 2007 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System ChessieStorm   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 20 2007 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System cieldumort   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System doug   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System srquirrely   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:07 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System ElizabethH   Thu Sep 20 2007 02:00 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Storm Hunter   Thu Sep 20 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System metwannabe   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:18 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System scottsvb   Thu Sep 20 2007 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Hurricane29   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System OUSHAWN   Thu Sep 20 2007 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System dem05   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System craigm   Thu Sep 20 2007 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System doug   Thu Sep 20 2007 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System Ed in Va   Thu Sep 20 2007 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System OUSHAWN   Thu Sep 20 2007 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico System mikethewreck   Thu Sep 20 2007 07:05 AM

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