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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance
      Sat Sep 22 2007 11:35 AM

system is going over the yucatan. that's one of the more tropical friendly places a system can pass over.. at least for developing stuff. u/a pattern looks ok for the next couple of days, so we could have another of those flash-in-the-pan type systems. models either curve it up or slap it sw into mexico.
pattern might be a little favorable for stuff in the central atlantic to act up, with some ridging building up there. shear in the subtropical atlantic is predicted to reach destructive levels over the next couple of weeks, so any early recurvatures or paths that stray from the deep tropics would likely be suicidal. this time of year the source region for u.s. threats usually shrinks down to caribbean-to-gulf storm tracks. barring anything that might pop up in the bahamas ahead of frontal systems, stuff developing further out in the atlantic is no longer likely to be a threat.
HF 1535z22september

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Storm Jerry Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land, Watching 3 Other Waves MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 22 2007 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Jerry Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land, Watching 3 Other Waves cieldumort   Mon Sep 24 2007 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 24 2007 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land madmumbler   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land OUSHAWN   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:27 AM
. * * Recon Schedule danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land madmumbler   Mon Sep 24 2007 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Hugh   Sun Sep 23 2007 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land BLTizzle   Sun Sep 23 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Hugh   Sun Sep 23 2007 12:40 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land OUSHAWN   Sun Sep 23 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Hugh   Sun Sep 23 2007 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land OUSHAWN   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Rich B   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:02 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land oil tracker   Sun Sep 23 2007 07:18 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land cieldumort   Sun Sep 23 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: Invests 94L & 95L (& 96L? & 97L?) cieldumort   Sun Sep 23 2007 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Invests 94L & 95L (& 96L? & 97L?) cieldumort   Sat Sep 22 2007 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance Clark   Sat Sep 22 2007 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean and GOM HanKFranK   Sat Sep 22 2007 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean and GOM cieldumort   Sat Sep 22 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Western Caribbean and GOM danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 22 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance cieldumort   Sat Sep 22 2007 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance Trekman   Sat Sep 22 2007 12:47 PM
. * * Cape Verde wave punkyg   Sat Sep 22 2007 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance HanKFranK   Sat Sep 22 2007 11:35 AM

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