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Helene after-Impacts still being felt in some areas. Area to watch for the Gulf Coast in the west Caribbean in a week to week and a half or so, with a 40% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Helene) , Major: 4 (Helene) Florida - Any: 4 (Helene) Major: 4 (Helene)
Hur Kirk
ADV#9 5:00 pm EDT
16.2N 40.1W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 986mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2427
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Subtropical Storm Jerry Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land, Watching 3 Other Waves
      Mon Sep 24 2007 12:54 PM

Invest 94L is doing a splendid job of pulling it together. With the recent experiences of Humberto and other unusually rapidly developing near-shore systems this season, all interests along the western Gulf Coast should be paying very close attention. IMHO, an upgrade to 94L is highly probable later today or tonight.

Some at TWC are already on record calling for the probable upgrade of 94L as early as later this afternoon, and that is not at all hyperbolic. Farther out, 96L is almost "there," and 97L is just about get over that hump which is northeastern South America. Of all three of these systems, 94L has the most imminent threat for tropical cyclogenesis (if it's hasn't done so already), and potentially an even more imminent threat to a portion of the U.S. that does-not-need-more-rain, as it is.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Subtropical Storm Jerry Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land, Watching 3 Other Waves MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 24 2007 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Jerry Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land, Watching 3 Other Waves cieldumort   Mon Sep 24 2007 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 24 2007 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land madmumbler   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land OUSHAWN   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:27 AM
. * * Recon Schedule danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land madmumbler   Mon Sep 24 2007 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Hugh   Sun Sep 23 2007 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land BLTizzle   Sun Sep 23 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Hugh   Sun Sep 23 2007 12:40 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land OUSHAWN   Sun Sep 23 2007 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Hugh   Sun Sep 23 2007 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land OUSHAWN   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land Rich B   Sun Sep 23 2007 10:02 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land oil tracker   Sun Sep 23 2007 07:18 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression 11 Forms West of Azores No Threat To Land cieldumort   Sun Sep 23 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: Invests 94L & 95L (& 96L? & 97L?) cieldumort   Sun Sep 23 2007 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Invests 94L & 95L (& 96L? & 97L?) cieldumort   Sat Sep 22 2007 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance Clark   Sat Sep 22 2007 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean and GOM HanKFranK   Sat Sep 22 2007 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean and GOM cieldumort   Sat Sep 22 2007 08:08 PM
. * * Western Caribbean and GOM danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 22 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance cieldumort   Sat Sep 22 2007 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance Trekman   Sat Sep 22 2007 12:47 PM
. * * Cape Verde wave punkyg   Sat Sep 22 2007 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Disturbance HanKFranK   Sat Sep 22 2007 11:35 AM

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