8:50PM EDT Update 24 September 2007
96L (The wave in the eastern Atlantic Becomes Tropical Depression 12, after a burst of activity tonight and dvork t numbers (Satellite windspeed estimages) that support it. Advisories should begin at 11PM EDT. It is most likely to never affect land.
More to come at 11PM.
Original Update
Today two systems are looking better for development, the most immediate concern in the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico (94L). It may form as early as 5PM tonight into a depression. The current model runs have it moving more westward or even slightly south of due west toward Mexico (not likely for US landfall), and because of the upper air situation, likely no more intense than a Tropical Storm.
96L in the far eastern Atlantic may form tomorrow or the next day as well. Right now it's starting to look better, but the overall circulation remains a bit too broad to be classified.
97L near the Windwards is looking a little better today, but likely won't develop before it gets to the islands, still it must be watched.
Jerry has weakened into a depression and will turn extratropical soon.
More to come soon...
Chances for Tropical Development of Disturbance in the Gulf (94L) In Next 2 days (Lounge discussion thread here )
Code:
(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[--------------*-----]
Chances for Tropical Development of Wave in Far Eastern Atlantic (96L) In Next 2 days (Discussion thread here.)
Code:
(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[----------*----------]
Chances for Tropical Development of Wave East of the Caribbean (97L) In Next 2 days (Discussion thread here)
Code:
(forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[------*-------------]
Martinique Radar
{{StormCarib}}
{{StormLinks|TD#11|11|11|2007|1|Tropical Depression 11}}
{{StormLinks|94L|94|13|2007|4|94L (Gulf Disturbance)}}
{{StormLinks|TD#12|12|12|2007|3|TD#12}}
{{StormLinks|97L|97|14|2007|2|97L (East of Caribbean Wave)}}
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