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#BERYL HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES From mouth of the Rio Grande northward to Sargent #txwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 310 (Idalia) , Major: 310 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 310 (Idalia) Major: 310 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#29A 1:00 am EDT
21.3N 89.7W
Wind: 65MPH
Pres: 994mb
Moving:
Wnw at 15 mph
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BLTizzle
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 13
Loc: Eufaula, AL
Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves
      Mon Sep 24 2007 04:36 PM

The center of 94L seems to be moving under the convection a little better. Looking at the visible it seems the shear might have picked up a bit based on the way the cloud tops are a big more ragged than earlier. Then again, could be diurnal minimum. It'd be nice to have some stronger steering currents to get a better hold on where its gonna go. The shear's supposed to let up a bit and with no steering currents, there are some models that have it just meandering around.

Convection continues to fire on 97L, but its got some mean shear to deal with shortly. If it can survive that then it might have a chance.

96L looks healthy, as it has for most of its life. Looks like the low might be trying to squirm its way down to the surface at around 9.5N 34W. Right smack dab in the middle of all the convection. Nice blow up of thunderstorms in the region too, so I wouldn't be surprised. Don't think it'll be long before it gets classified if that is indeed happening.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression 12 forms in East Atlantic... Other Waves MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 24 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves cieldumort   Mon Sep 24 2007 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 24 2007 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves BLTizzle   Mon Sep 24 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves OUSHAWN   Mon Sep 24 2007 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 24 2007 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 24 2007 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Development in Gulf Likely, Other Waves punkyg   Mon Sep 24 2007 02:40 PM

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