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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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danielwAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Latest Tropical Discussion HPC
      Tue Sep 25 2007 02:56 PM

TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
212 PM EDT TUE SEP 25 2007 (excerpts only)

...AT LOW LEVELS...IT REFLECTS AS AN ILL ORGANIZED LOW NEAR 21N 94W...WHERE IT IS NOW EXPECTED TO MEANDER THROUGH 72 HRS.
THE MODELS STILL FORESEE LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...AND THE NHC IS NOT EXPECTING IT TO
EVOLVE INTO A TROPICAL STORM.
BUT THE GFS STILL SHOWS SLOW EVOLUTION TO A WEAK SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE.

FARTHER EAST...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A CLOSED UPPER LOW NEAR 29N/ 74W ... SUPPORTING A TROUGH INTO FLORIDA/ NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THE SYSTEM IS CUTOFF FROM THE FLOW... AND IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO AN OPEN TROUGH ALONG 80W BY 48-60 HRS. THROUGH 72 HRS IT IS EXPECTED TO NEARLY FILL.
AT MID/LOW LEVELS IT WILL SUPPORT A
TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS TO WESTERN CUBA... WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE TROUGH IS TO CONTINUE ENHANCING DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.


TROPICAL DISCUSSION

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/discuss.shtml

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves Clark Tue Sep 25 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 25 2007 07:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves LoisCane   Tue Sep 25 2007 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves M.A.   Tue Sep 25 2007 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves Wingman51   Tue Sep 25 2007 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves cieldumort   Tue Sep 25 2007 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves allan   Tue Sep 25 2007 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas cieldumort   Tue Sep 25 2007 03:13 PM
. * * Latest Tropical Discussion HPC danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 25 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas cchsweatherman   Tue Sep 25 2007 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas WeatherNut   Tue Sep 25 2007 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas madmumbler   Tue Sep 25 2007 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Karen forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves WeatherNut   Tue Sep 25 2007 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 25 2007 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas LoisCane   Tue Sep 25 2007 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Bahamas scottsvb   Tue Sep 25 2007 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 25 2007 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas LoisCane   Tue Sep 25 2007 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Bahamas OUSHAWN   Tue Sep 25 2007 09:30 AM
. * * Bahamas Beach   Tue Sep 25 2007 08:31 AM
. * * Re: TD 12 forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves punkyg   Tue Sep 25 2007 07:50 AM
. * * Re: TD 12 forms in the East Atlantic, also watching other waves Storm Hunter   Tue Sep 25 2007 06:25 AM

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