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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.

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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

Bloodstar
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Posts: 467
Loc: Tucson, AZ

Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico
Thu Sep 27 2007 03:35 PM

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132007
A. 27/18:19:00Z
B. 20 deg 29 min N
095 deg 43 min W
C. 850 mb 1449 m
D. 69 kt
E. 161 deg 11 nm
F. 220 deg 052 kt
G. 141 deg 020 nm
H. 1002 mb
I. NA C/ 1519 m
J. 23 C/ 1521 m
K. 14 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/8
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF306 0513A CYCLONE OB 07
MAX FL WIND 64 KT SW QUAD 17:31:30 Z

I wonder if they'll upgrade it to a hurricane. It's trying really hard. Be a bit of a shocker to see it upgraded, particularly with the sheared look. Still Drifting south West and nothing to really push it a long faster.

Karen is trending to the left of Tropical Forecast point, again, not a surprise with the current state of the system. Still looks like a tropical Storm, vigorous LLC, and it may slip south of the worst shear.

Right now the models are starting to trend west with Karen, but as has been mentioned here many a time, wait for consistent model runs before taking any serious stock in them.

Right now the main concern is what Lorenzo will do to the Mexican coast, it may be a bit of a shocker to people if they hadn't been preparing for potentially rapidly developing storm (pressure appears to be dropping fairly rapidly, New Recon Ob found a pressure at 1000mb, a 2mb drop per hour the last few hours).

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M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Hurricane Lorenzo Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	MikeC	Thu Sep 27 2007 03:35 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Hurricane Lorenzo Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	weathernet	Fri Sep 28 2007 09:30 AM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Hurricane Lorenzo Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Lee-Delray	Fri Sep 28 2007 08:11 AM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Hurricane Lorenzo Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	flanewscameraman	Fri Sep 28 2007 06:06 AM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Hurricane Lorenzo Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	cieldumort	Fri Sep 28 2007 05:09 AM
Re: Lorenzo becomes a hurricane	Storm Hunter	Thu Sep 27 2007 10:59 PM
Lorenzo becomes a hurricane	Rabbit	Thu Sep 27 2007 07:54 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	craigm	Thu Sep 27 2007 06:01 PM
next week	HanKFranK	Thu Sep 27 2007 05:52 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Lee-Delray	Thu Sep 27 2007 04:37 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Ed in Va	Thu Sep 27 2007 04:13 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Steve H1	Thu Sep 27 2007 04:08 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Bloodstar	Thu Sep 27 2007 03:35 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	cieldumort	Thu Sep 27 2007 02:36 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	allan	Thu Sep 27 2007 02:13 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	craigm	Thu Sep 27 2007 12:51 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	Storm Surfer	Thu Sep 27 2007 12:44 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	cieldumort	Thu Sep 27 2007 01:35 AM
Discussion Excerpts	danielw	Thu Sep 27 2007 01:10 AM
Re: Karen Vortex	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 26 2007 11:17 PM
Karen Vortex	danielw	Wed Sep 26 2007 08:54 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Lee-Delray	Wed Sep 26 2007 08:45 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 26 2007 08:35 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	craigm	Wed Sep 26 2007 08:00 PM
Re: Wave off Florida Should Bring Rain... Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	cieldumort	Wed Sep 26 2007 07:04 PM
Re: 98L, Karen, and TD13	StrmTrckrMiami	Wed Sep 26 2007 05:51 PM
Re: 98L, Karen, and TD13	Fletch	Wed Sep 26 2007 05:26 PM
Re: 98L, Karen, and TD13	flnelson	Wed Sep 26 2007 04:56 PM
Re: 98L, Karen, and TD13	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 26 2007 03:33 PM
98L, Karen, and TD13	Bloodstar	Wed Sep 26 2007 02:52 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	WeatherNut	Wed Sep 26 2007 02:27 PM
Re: Explanation Please	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 26 2007 02:04 PM
Explanation Please	Beach	Wed Sep 26 2007 01:16 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	LoisCane	Wed Sep 26 2007 12:24 PM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 26 2007 11:41 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	cieldumort	Wed Sep 26 2007 11:31 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	OUSHAWN	Wed Sep 26 2007 10:58 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	MikeC	Wed Sep 26 2007 10:57 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	MikeC	Wed Sep 26 2007 10:33 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	Lee-Delray	Wed Sep 26 2007 09:48 AM
Re: Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	craigm	Wed Sep 26 2007 09:39 AM
Tropical storm karen soon to been hurricane?	punkyg	Wed Sep 26 2007 09:15 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	craigm	Wed Sep 26 2007 07:24 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	cieldumort	Wed Sep 26 2007 04:01 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Rabbit	Wed Sep 26 2007 03:33 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	cieldumort	Wed Sep 26 2007 03:26 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Rabbit	Wed Sep 26 2007 03:11 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	Storm Hunter	Wed Sep 26 2007 01:58 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in Southwest Gulf of Mexico	weathernet	Wed Sep 26 2007 01:06 AM

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