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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

CDMOrlando
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Reged:
Posts: 57
Loc: seminole cnty florida
Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida
      Tue Oct 02 2007 12:14 PM

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
929 AM EDT TUE OCT 02 2007

VALID 12Z SAT OCT 06 2007 - 12Z TUE OCT 09 2007


EARLY PRELIM DISCUSSION...

THE ATMOSPHERE APPEARS TO BE IN A REPETITIVE MODE..WITH THE FUTURE
LOOKING A LOT LIKE THE PAST.

THE MEAN RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE ERN CONUS/WRN ATLC SHOULD DIRECT ANY
SYSTEMS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL ORIGIN ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. A FIRST WEAK SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW SHOULD
REACH OR APPROACH THE WRN GULF COAST BY EARLY DAY 3/FRI AND
DISSIPATE SHORTLY THEREAFTER. A TRACK WITHIN THE RIGHT HALF OF
GUIDANCE STILL SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN VERIFICATION OF RECENT WEAK
SYSTEMS OVER THE GULF/WRN ATLC. MODEL/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HINTS AT
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REACHING THE GULF BY THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.


MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1157 AM EDT TUE OCT 02 2007

POSSIBLE LOW NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY...
THE NAM DEVELOPS A FEATURE HERE WHICH WAS NOT SEEN ON ITS RUNS
FROM YESTERDAY. IT WAS FIRST NOTED ON THE NAM RUN FROM 00Z...FROM
WHICH THE CURRENT RUN HAS TRENDED SOUTH. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
CONSISTENT IN NOT SHOWING THIS FEATURE DURING ITS PAST COUPLE DAYS
OF RUNS.

POSSIBLE LOW IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN FRIDAY MORNING...
THE NAM HAS TRENDED SLOWER WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER ITS PAST DAY OF
RUNS. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN NOT SHOWING THIS FEATURE

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 02 2007 12:14 PM
. * * Re: who wants to call noel? cieldumort   Thu Oct 04 2007 12:32 AM
. * * Re: who wants to call noel? Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 03 2007 08:27 PM
. * * Re: who wants to call noel? flahurricane   Wed Oct 03 2007 07:00 PM
. * * who wants to call noel? HanKFranK   Wed Oct 03 2007 06:53 PM
. * * Re: invest variety weathernet   Wed Oct 03 2007 05:20 PM
. * * Re: invest variety WeatherNut   Wed Oct 03 2007 05:11 PM
. * * Re: invest variety zacros   Wed Oct 03 2007 03:35 PM
. * * Re: invest variety neospaceblue   Wed Oct 03 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: invest variety Hurricane29   Wed Oct 03 2007 12:20 PM
. * * Re: invest variety cieldumort   Wed Oct 03 2007 11:14 AM
. * * Re: invest variety tekkrite   Wed Oct 03 2007 09:18 AM
. * * Re: invest variety madmumbler   Wed Oct 03 2007 09:02 AM
. * * comebacks LoisCane   Wed Oct 03 2007 08:22 AM
. * * invest variety HanKFranK   Wed Oct 03 2007 07:24 AM
. * * Is Melissa making a comeback? Bloodstar   Wed Oct 03 2007 02:06 AM
. * * Re: Current Radar Winds cieldumort   Wed Oct 03 2007 12:34 AM
. * * Current Radar Winds danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 03 2007 12:12 AM
. * * Re: The deal. allan   Tue Oct 02 2007 10:00 PM
. * * Re: The deal. EMS   Tue Oct 02 2007 09:50 PM
. * * The deal. Steve   Tue Oct 02 2007 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida CDMOrlando   Tue Oct 02 2007 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 02 2007 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida CDMOrlando   Tue Oct 02 2007 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida allan   Tue Oct 02 2007 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida allan   Mon Oct 01 2007 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Area East of Florida weather_wise911   Mon Oct 01 2007 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Area East of Florida Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 01 2007 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Area East of Florida weather_wise911   Mon Oct 01 2007 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Area East of Florida Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 01 2007 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Area East of Florida weathernet   Mon Oct 01 2007 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Area East of Florida Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 01 2007 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Area East of Florida CDMOrlando   Mon Oct 01 2007 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida Ed in Va   Mon Oct 01 2007 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida Rabbit   Mon Oct 01 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida Storm Hunter   Mon Oct 01 2007 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida madmumbler   Mon Oct 01 2007 08:04 AM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida LoisCane   Sun Sep 30 2007 11:45 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida weathernet   Sun Sep 30 2007 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida DaViking   Sun Sep 30 2007 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida Ed in Va   Sun Sep 30 2007 01:58 PM
. * * Recon Schedule danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 30 2007 01:51 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida punkyg   Sun Sep 30 2007 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Karen Dissipates, Watching Area East of Florida Storm Hunter   Sun Sep 30 2007 11:39 AM

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