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#HurricaneBeryl about to make landfall on the Yucatan peninsula. 5 Day cone has shifted significantly north, now covering all of Texas coastline. #txwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
20.1N 86.9W
Wind: 110MPH
Pres: 971mb
Moving:
Wnw at 15 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2345
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: For October Its Busy Out There
      Thu Oct 11 2007 01:39 PM

New invest up. There exists a drawn out potpourri of convection associated with surface to mid-level troffiness in the western Atlantic into the Caribbean, with numerous surface to mid level swirls, some more pronounced than others, with x94L having been the most prominent. NRL is now tracking 96L in the central Atlantic, around 30N 53W. This feature was already analyzed by TPC as a 1011 mb low center Wednesday. Movement is generally east this morning. NRL estimates winds at 25 knots, which both the former pressure estimate and max sustained wind may be conservative, based on ship reports which suggest pressures have been down around 1007-1009 and max winds closer to 30 knots. This system is very nearly, if not already, a depression, although shear has been an inhibiting factor.

NHC discusses it in the 10:30 TWO:
1. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...ONLY A SMALL INCREASE
IN ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
AND BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.


The non-tropical low which was rather quickly acquiring some tropical characteristics in the far eastern Atlantic I mentioned yesterday has remained generally symmetrical, cold-cored, and has given up much of its convection which existed Wednesday. It was already being tracked as an Invest by SSD, although NHC had not assigned it a number for NRL. Nothing much doing there so far today.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* For October Its Busy Out There Ed DunhamAdministrator Thu Oct 11 2007 01:39 PM
. * * re: 99L Inland & ehancing severe weather threat today cieldumort   Wed Oct 17 2007 01:46 PM
. * * Re: GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized Storm Hunter   Wed Oct 17 2007 11:59 AM
. * * Re: GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized Thunderbird12   Wed Oct 17 2007 11:29 AM
. * * GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized cieldumort   Tue Oct 16 2007 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Over Night Surprise?? cieldumort   Tue Oct 16 2007 03:50 AM
. * * Over Night Surprise?? danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 16 2007 12:19 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sun Oct 14 2007 06:59 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sun Oct 14 2007 02:48 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Fri Oct 12 2007 03:48 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2007 06:07 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Lee-Delray   Thu Oct 11 2007 05:41 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2007 04:00 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Rabbit   Thu Oct 11 2007 10:32 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Wed Oct 10 2007 04:45 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Brett Addison   Wed Oct 10 2007 01:29 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sun Oct 07 2007 01:16 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sun Oct 07 2007 08:46 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sun Oct 07 2007 03:49 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Clark   Sat Oct 06 2007 11:24 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sat Oct 06 2007 05:35 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sat Oct 06 2007 05:11 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There cieldumort   Sat Oct 06 2007 03:44 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There allan   Sat Oct 06 2007 08:41 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There craigm   Sat Oct 06 2007 08:12 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Hugh   Fri Oct 05 2007 09:25 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Old Sailor   Fri Oct 05 2007 09:16 PM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Beaumont, TX   Fri Oct 05 2007 07:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L weathernet   Fri Oct 05 2007 06:36 PM
. * * Re: 92L weathernet   Fri Oct 05 2007 06:25 PM
. * * area north of peurto rico punkyg   Fri Oct 05 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L craigm   Fri Oct 05 2007 03:47 PM
. * * Re: 92L scottsvb   Fri Oct 05 2007 11:53 AM
. * * Re: 92L tekkrite   Fri Oct 05 2007 11:52 AM
. * * Re: 92L saluki   Fri Oct 05 2007 10:24 AM
. * * Re: 92L Lee-Delray   Fri Oct 05 2007 10:24 AM
. * * Re: 92L madmumbler   Fri Oct 05 2007 10:05 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Beaumont, TX   Fri Oct 05 2007 09:01 AM
. * * Re: 92L HURRICANELONNY   Fri Oct 05 2007 07:56 AM
. * * Re: 92L cieldumort   Fri Oct 05 2007 01:09 AM
. * * Re: 92L weathernet   Thu Oct 04 2007 10:10 PM
. * * Re: 92L scottsvb   Thu Oct 04 2007 09:44 PM
. * * Re: 92L Old Sailor   Thu Oct 04 2007 07:15 PM
. * * Re: 92L Rasvar   Thu Oct 04 2007 07:05 PM
. * * Re: 92L allan   Thu Oct 04 2007 02:16 PM
. * * Re: 92L scottsvb   Thu Oct 04 2007 01:51 PM
. * * Re: 92L cchsweatherman   Thu Oct 04 2007 12:51 PM
. * * Re: 92L Lamar-Plant City   Thu Oct 04 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Re: 92L Artemis   Thu Oct 04 2007 10:48 AM
. * * 92L ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 04 2007 08:21 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There neospaceblue   Thu Oct 04 2007 08:18 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There weathernet   Thu Oct 04 2007 03:22 AM
. * * Re: For October Its Busy Out There Storm Hunter   Thu Oct 04 2007 01:44 AM

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