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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: For October Its Busy Out There
Thu Oct 11 2007 06:07 PM

ID T1 TIME LAT LON DIST HDG WDIR WSPD (In knots)
SHIP S 1800 29.10 -50.50 60 180 190 35.0

Ship report from 1800Z within miles of the coc was reporting sustained winds out of the south at 40 mph. Just a very slight increase in organization would probably force NHCs hand at naming 15 in real-time. The window for such further intensification is forecast to close as shear turns around and starts to beat on 15 from the north, and by default, if for no other reason, substantially increases in intensity as the cyclone travels along a forecast northeasterly heading. However, should 15 continue to proceed in a more due easterly direction the net shear over the system could be less, and 15 has already shown a propensity to fend off shear quite well, beating out numerous model runs which anticipated decoupling by now.

As for the Caribbean, we probably need to see something really start turning at the surface before NHC takes more notice. The only notable turning at the surface is still well inland (94L). For now, it's an impressive trof, with occasional transient lows.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
For October Its Busy Out There	Ed Dunham	Thu Oct 11 2007 06:07 PM
re: 99L Inland & ehancing severe weather threat today	cieldumort	Wed Oct 17 2007 01:46 PM
Re: GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 17 2007 11:59 AM
Re: GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 17 2007 11:29 AM
GOM Invest 99L slowly getting more organized	cieldumort	Tue Oct 16 2007 11:23 AM
Re: Over Night Surprise??	cieldumort	Tue Oct 16 2007 03:50 AM
Over Night Surprise??	danielw	Tue Oct 16 2007 12:19 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Sun Oct 14 2007 06:59 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	allan	Sun Oct 14 2007 02:48 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Fri Oct 12 2007 03:48 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Thu Oct 11 2007 06:07 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Lee-Delray	Thu Oct 11 2007 05:41 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Thu Oct 11 2007 04:00 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Thu Oct 11 2007 01:39 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Rabbit	Thu Oct 11 2007 10:32 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Wed Oct 10 2007 04:45 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Brett Addison	Wed Oct 10 2007 01:29 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Sun Oct 07 2007 01:16 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	allan	Sun Oct 07 2007 08:46 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Sun Oct 07 2007 03:49 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Clark	Sat Oct 06 2007 11:24 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Sat Oct 06 2007 05:35 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	allan	Sat Oct 06 2007 05:11 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	cieldumort	Sat Oct 06 2007 03:44 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	allan	Sat Oct 06 2007 08:41 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	craigm	Sat Oct 06 2007 08:12 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Hugh	Fri Oct 05 2007 09:25 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Old Sailor	Fri Oct 05 2007 09:16 PM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Beaumont, TX	Fri Oct 05 2007 07:34 PM
Re: 92L	weathernet	Fri Oct 05 2007 06:36 PM
Re: 92L	weathernet	Fri Oct 05 2007 06:25 PM
area north of peurto rico	punkyg	Fri Oct 05 2007 04:25 PM
Re: 92L	craigm	Fri Oct 05 2007 03:47 PM
Re: 92L	scottsvb	Fri Oct 05 2007 11:53 AM
Re: 92L	tekkrite	Fri Oct 05 2007 11:52 AM
Re: 92L	saluki	Fri Oct 05 2007 10:24 AM
Re: 92L	Lee-Delray	Fri Oct 05 2007 10:24 AM
Re: 92L	madmumbler	Fri Oct 05 2007 10:05 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Beaumont, TX	Fri Oct 05 2007 09:01 AM
Re: 92L	HURRICANELONNY	Fri Oct 05 2007 07:56 AM
Re: 92L	cieldumort	Fri Oct 05 2007 01:09 AM
Re: 92L	weathernet	Thu Oct 04 2007 10:10 PM
Re: 92L	scottsvb	Thu Oct 04 2007 09:44 PM
Re: 92L	Old Sailor	Thu Oct 04 2007 07:15 PM
Re: 92L	Rasvar	Thu Oct 04 2007 07:05 PM
Re: 92L	allan	Thu Oct 04 2007 02:16 PM
Re: 92L	scottsvb	Thu Oct 04 2007 01:51 PM
Re: 92L	cchsweatherman	Thu Oct 04 2007 12:51 PM
Re: 92L	Lamar-Plant City	Thu Oct 04 2007 11:42 AM
Re: 92L	Artemis	Thu Oct 04 2007 10:48 AM
92L	ftlaudbob	Thu Oct 04 2007 08:21 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	neospaceblue	Thu Oct 04 2007 08:18 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	weathernet	Thu Oct 04 2007 03:22 AM
Re: For October Its Busy Out There	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 04 2007 01:44 AM

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