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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic.
      Sat Oct 20 2007 09:32 PM

Shear has really picked back up since I posted. Sort of looks like there may be something of an extratropical vort forming in the middle, but currently not lowest layers, around 25N 86W. The trof draped up through the western Caribbean is creating a good deal of pressure drops, deep convection, and wind, but little if any turning at the surface. The wave mentioned by Ed a couple of days ago is holding on, with diffluence provided by a nearby ULL enhancing its convection, but nothing able to take at the surface. Back to looking a lot more like mid-late November, again. Now watch something pop tonight now that I've written this

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* Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic. cieldumort Sat Oct 20 2007 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic. allan   Sat Oct 20 2007 10:18 AM
. * * Re: Things could be getting interesting near both coasts: Kiko & Increasingly favorable W. Atlantic. cieldumort   Sat Oct 20 2007 09:32 PM

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