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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October
Tue Oct 23 2007 05:34 PM

So far today, the only feature I am able to discern as having any chance at any very near-term development is the surface low associated with the non-tropical low over the central Atlantic. The surface feature is located near 30.5N 36W. Ship reports suggest maximum sustained winds may now be in the 30 knot range, and pressure down to perhaps 1009-1010mb. A few showers are firing off in the coc. There is a hint of perhaps becoming a touch low-level warm core symmetrical. I gander that this may be something that gets an Invest tag.

Rest of the features feel like wave monger material, so far. The Roundy experimental tropical cyclone formation probability product vpbob cites above is certainly bullish, although almost backwards-looking now. Nonetheless, two very convective waves (interaction with ULLs) have persisted for a good while now. The bottom of the cold front cutting across Mexico and entering the east Pac has shown a few hints of building on some preexisting cyclonic flow down there. Might be interesting if it breaks off and festers a while. In the meantime, the associated Tehuantepecer is blowing hour after hour easily over 35 knots from the ocean, and it wouldn't be surprising to find sustained wind of over 45 knots inland.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Very Quiet Mid to Late October	MikeC	Tue Oct 23 2007 05:34 PM
Re: Caribbean-Recon for Sunday	Doombot!	Sun Oct 28 2007 04:36 AM
Re: Caribbean-Recon for Sunday	craigm	Sun Oct 28 2007 12:50 AM
Caribbean-Recon for Sunday	danielw	Sat Oct 27 2007 04:12 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Sat Oct 27 2007 03:34 PM
Re: -Caribbean disturbances are gaining some respect-	cieldumort	Sat Oct 27 2007 03:21 PM
-Caribbean disturbances are gaining some respect-	cieldumort	Sat Oct 27 2007 07:22 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	Tak	Fri Oct 26 2007 10:35 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	ChessieStorm	Fri Oct 26 2007 12:02 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	mikethewreck	Fri Oct 26 2007 03:45 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	Storm Hunter	Fri Oct 26 2007 03:26 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Thu Oct 25 2007 10:11 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	xxflcyclonexx	Thu Oct 25 2007 07:35 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Thu Oct 25 2007 02:11 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Thu Oct 25 2007 01:18 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Tue Oct 23 2007 06:07 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Tue Oct 23 2007 05:34 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	vpbob21	Mon Oct 22 2007 10:30 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cchsweatherman	Mon Oct 22 2007 03:46 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	doug	Mon Oct 22 2007 03:38 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Fri Oct 19 2007 09:09 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Fri Oct 19 2007 05:28 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	Lee-Delray	Fri Oct 19 2007 02:18 PM

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