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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October
Thu Oct 25 2007 10:11 AM

90L doesn't look half-bad. They could have tagged this one yesterday. It's formed on the tail end of a frontal feature associated with the giant non-tropical low centered out over the central Atlantic. Shear over 90L isn't horrific at this time, although certainly not helping it any. I wouldn't pay any attention to tropical cyclone heat potential for any system that is in an environment barely supportive of tropical cyclogenesis, as it is. In fact, the atmosphere is likely to be a far, far greater determinant of this system's true potential than the TCHP (assuming 90l can actually pop in the first place). Conventional satellite, buoy and ship reports suggest it could be a fighter.

Other areas of interest include the remains of a wave in the central Caribbean and/or the southern portion of the strong cold front that is going stationary this morning. Some models still want to create a tc down in there over the next 4-7 days, which doesn't look impossible. There's also the rest of the above-mentioned very large non-tropical low out in the central Atlantic, without any model support to speak of, but which could slowly acquire some subtropical characteristics as it meanders over subtropical to marginally tropical waters out there somewhere in the vicinity of 25N 45W +/- five or ten in any direction.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Very Quiet Mid to Late October	MikeC	Thu Oct 25 2007 10:11 AM
Re: Caribbean-Recon for Sunday	Doombot!	Sun Oct 28 2007 12:36 AM
Re: Caribbean-Recon for Sunday	craigm	Sat Oct 27 2007 08:50 PM
Caribbean-Recon for Sunday	danielw	Sat Oct 27 2007 12:12 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Sat Oct 27 2007 11:34 AM
Re: -Caribbean disturbances are gaining some respect-	cieldumort	Sat Oct 27 2007 11:21 AM
-Caribbean disturbances are gaining some respect-	cieldumort	Sat Oct 27 2007 03:22 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	Tak	Fri Oct 26 2007 06:35 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	ChessieStorm	Fri Oct 26 2007 08:02 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	mikethewreck	Thu Oct 25 2007 11:45 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 25 2007 11:26 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Thu Oct 25 2007 06:11 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	xxflcyclonexx	Thu Oct 25 2007 03:35 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Thu Oct 25 2007 10:11 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Thu Oct 25 2007 09:18 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Tue Oct 23 2007 02:07 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Tue Oct 23 2007 01:34 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	vpbob21	Mon Oct 22 2007 06:30 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cchsweatherman	Mon Oct 22 2007 11:46 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	doug	Mon Oct 22 2007 11:38 AM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	cieldumort	Fri Oct 19 2007 05:09 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	allan	Fri Oct 19 2007 01:28 PM
Re: Very Quiet Mid to Late October	Lee-Delray	Fri Oct 19 2007 10:18 AM

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