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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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Cat 5orBust
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Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea
      Sun Oct 28 2007 01:31 PM

just from the naked eye without looking very carefully at the system this morning, it appears to have a slightly more west movement than north at the moment even though it is not very clear where the exact center is located. from various accounts the further west it gets the better chance it has to strengthen due to the heat content and less interaction with land. in looking at the models this morning i find it a bit baffling that some of these models hook it to the northeast as early as they do. several take it nnw then turn it through the central bahamas. i honestly dont know what they are seeing to cause it to move more northerly so early in the period. i know a trough should be coming down in about 4 days which will eventually turn it northeast, but i am not totally buying the northerly component and the early hook scenario at this moment. obviously when recon gets in there later the models will have a better idea. the only question that needs to be answered really is how far west will this get before the turn commences and if it does get further west then we may have a stronger storm on our hands and obviously more of a threat to florida.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator Sun Oct 28 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic scottsvb   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:23 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Lee-Delray   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:11 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic saluki   Mon Oct 29 2007 09:19 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 09:10 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 08:43 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic scottsvb   Mon Oct 29 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Lamar-Plant City   Mon Oct 29 2007 08:29 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 08:25 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 07:56 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 07:51 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 07:47 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 07:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:19 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Steve H1   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 02:18 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic allan   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:38 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 09:57 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 08:23 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic dem05   Mon Oct 29 2007 08:07 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:13 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:53 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic LoisCane   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:51 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic allan   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:33 AM
. * * Night satellite images danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical storm Noel Steve H1   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:53 AM
. * * Re: Tropical storm Noel vineyardsaker   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:36 AM
. * * Tropical storm Noel ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 28 2007 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea Gigsley   Sun Oct 28 2007 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea LoisCane   Sun Oct 28 2007 05:49 PM
. * * Re: sweet sixteen CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Oct 28 2007 05:42 PM
. * * sweet sixteen HanKFranK   Sun Oct 28 2007 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea Cat 5orBust   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Early Satellite views cieldumort   Sun Oct 28 2007 07:19 AM
. * * TD 16 Early Satellite views danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2007 05:58 AM

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