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dem05
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Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic
      Mon Oct 29 2007 04:07 AM

This is a highly unfortunate scene for the Island of Hispanola.

At this point, it is pretty apparent that the mid level center is seperating/de-coupling from Noel and moving Northward. The heavy rains will cuase very devestating mudslides in that island region and I sincerely pray for the best there.

As for the future of Noel, I expect the decouple to continue considering the high cloud tops that already exist, the uplifting support from the mountains of the D.R. and Haiti, and the current shear profile. That is the big news for now...

Later on...According to the shortwave loops, I would pinpoint the "centroid" of the circulation envelope at the surface as a location that is south of the passage between Jamaica and Haiti. As the ULL spins down further and shear decreases...Old mid level low Noelwill head nrth and Fade away, butthe surface structure will probably remain in the carribean based on what I am seeing tonight. If so...unfortunately...there will be more rains in Hispaola and the final chapter on Noel has not been written....

Currently, the main convection is impressive and it is very lethal...but regretably, it is not all that Noel may have to offer...Stay tuned!

Shortwave Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

Edited by dem05 (Mon Oct 29 2007 04:23 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator Mon Oct 29 2007 04:07 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic scottsvb   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:23 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Lee-Delray   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:11 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 06:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic saluki   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:19 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:10 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic scottsvb   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:36 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Lamar-Plant City   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:29 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:25 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:51 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:47 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 03:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 02:19 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic Steve H1   Mon Oct 29 2007 12:31 PM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic doug   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:18 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic allan   Mon Oct 29 2007 09:38 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 05:57 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:23 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic dem05   Mon Oct 29 2007 04:07 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 02:13 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:53 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic LoisCane   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:51 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Becomes Tropical Storm Noel South of Haiti/Dominican Republic allan   Mon Oct 29 2007 01:33 AM
. * * Night satellite images danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical storm Noel Steve H1   Sun Oct 28 2007 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical storm Noel vineyardsaker   Sun Oct 28 2007 09:36 PM
. * * Tropical storm Noel ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 28 2007 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea Gigsley   Sun Oct 28 2007 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea LoisCane   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:49 PM
. * * Re: sweet sixteen CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:42 PM
. * * sweet sixteen HanKFranK   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Late October Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Sea Cat 5orBust   Sun Oct 28 2007 09:31 AM
. * * Re: TD 16 Early Satellite views cieldumort   Sun Oct 28 2007 03:19 AM
. * * TD 16 Early Satellite views danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2007 01:58 AM

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