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Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas
      Tue Oct 30 2007 02:44 AM

Any fellow "weather-heads" have any recent pressure readings from out in the southern or central Bahamas?

As I sit here anticipating the 11:00pm Discussion, and while watching my 135th looping of every different sat. resolution, I am noticing how for the first time this system is wrapping convection farther around the western quadrant than earlier today or yesterday. Is this partially due to lessening shear, perhaps. Also, inflow on Noel's eastern semicircle is being interupted by the very mountaineous Eastern Cuba landscape, thus less moisture and convection collecting perhaps on its eastern side. On the "motion" issue......, well I am certainly not seeing a more northerly component, and if anything a 280-290 degree motion. Hard to say of course given what we have to look at, but my guess is that the current center is smack right under the smaller ball of convection, just north of Cuba. Overall consolodation has been fairly impressive.

While not ready to make any outright prediciton, looking at the way the GFS has been trending, and looking at the 18z 500mb level winds, I just don't see enough energy droping south to influence a sharp northeast turn, as predicted by nearly all dynamic models. If upcoming mid and upper air were to verify this, than I can see a westward adjustment in about 15 minutes.

Two difficult choices I may have to make by tomm. eve. One, do I put up hurricane shutters tomm. eve., and two....., do I change my Halloween Costume to that of a "Blowin' Tumbleweek" ( perhaps more apprapoe than Elvis ).

(Forecast Lounge type comments were removed.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Tue Oct 30 2007 03:19 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Noel Over Cuba, Weaker MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 30 2007 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker cieldumort   Wed Oct 31 2007 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker allan   Wed Oct 31 2007 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker scottsvb   Wed Oct 31 2007 07:26 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker cieldumort   Wed Oct 31 2007 07:20 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 31 2007 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker weathernet   Wed Oct 31 2007 06:25 AM
. * * Heads Up danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 31 2007 06:12 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 31 2007 05:56 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker cieldumort   Wed Oct 31 2007 05:43 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker weathernet   Wed Oct 31 2007 05:27 AM
. * * Re: SE Florida current conditions weathernet   Wed Oct 31 2007 05:11 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker scottsvb   Wed Oct 31 2007 04:54 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker weathernet   Wed Oct 31 2007 04:49 AM
. * * Re: SE Florida current conditions scottsvb   Wed Oct 31 2007 04:49 AM
. * * Re: SE Florida current conditions dem05   Wed Oct 31 2007 03:20 AM
. * * Re: Noel Over Cuba, Weaker weathernet   Wed Oct 31 2007 03:02 AM
. * * Re: SE Florida current conditions cieldumort   Wed Oct 31 2007 02:35 AM
. * * CUBA current conditions danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 31 2007 02:29 AM
. * * SE Florida current conditions danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 31 2007 02:17 AM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track scottsvb   Wed Oct 31 2007 02:05 AM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track jessiej   Wed Oct 31 2007 12:49 AM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Lee-Delray   Wed Oct 31 2007 12:33 AM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track LoisCane   Tue Oct 30 2007 11:34 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Bloodstar   Tue Oct 30 2007 10:11 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 09:55 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track allan   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:55 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track doug   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:50 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track allan   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:40 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Old Sailor   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:31 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track allan   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:23 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track doug   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:14 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Steve H1   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:02 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track allan   Tue Oct 30 2007 08:01 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track doug   Tue Oct 30 2007 07:55 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Lee-Delray   Tue Oct 30 2007 07:52 PM
. * * storm still moving west LoisCane   Tue Oct 30 2007 07:49 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Lamar-Plant City   Tue Oct 30 2007 07:34 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track scottsvb   Tue Oct 30 2007 07:25 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 07:24 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 30 2007 07:10 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Lee-Delray   Tue Oct 30 2007 06:38 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track LoisCane   Tue Oct 30 2007 06:35 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track doug   Tue Oct 30 2007 06:32 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track allan   Tue Oct 30 2007 06:15 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 30 2007 06:01 PM
. * * Re: Decoupled? scottsvb   Tue Oct 30 2007 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Decoupled? ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Decoupled? LoisCane   Tue Oct 30 2007 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Decoupled? scottsvb   Tue Oct 30 2007 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Decoupled? MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 30 2007 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Decoupled? danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 30 2007 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Decoupled? LoisCane   Tue Oct 30 2007 04:56 PM
. * * Decoupled? Bloodstar   Tue Oct 30 2007 04:37 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track LoisCane   Tue Oct 30 2007 03:58 PM
. * * There is an "H" in the NHC's track - NO MORE vineyardsaker   Tue Oct 30 2007 03:54 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 03:40 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track doug   Tue Oct 30 2007 03:13 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 03:01 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track scottsvb   Tue Oct 30 2007 02:54 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track Lamar-Plant City   Tue Oct 30 2007 02:51 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 02:42 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track ChessieStorm   Tue Oct 30 2007 02:05 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track craigm   Tue Oct 30 2007 02:00 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track allan   Tue Oct 30 2007 01:58 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track vineyardsaker   Tue Oct 30 2007 01:44 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track doug   Tue Oct 30 2007 01:39 PM
. * * Re: There is an "H" in the NHC's track ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 12:18 PM
. * * There is an "H" in the NHC's track vineyardsaker   Tue Oct 30 2007 12:06 PM
. * * Re: More-not what you wanted to hear: Hurricane Noel doug   Tue Oct 30 2007 12:05 PM
. * * Re: More-not what you wanted to hear: Hurricane Noel dem05   Tue Oct 30 2007 11:04 AM
. * * Re: More-not what you wanted to hear: Hurricane Noel dem05   Tue Oct 30 2007 10:28 AM
. * * Re: More-not what you wanted to hear: Hurricane Noel cieldumort   Tue Oct 30 2007 09:02 AM
. * * More-not what you wanted to hear danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 30 2007 06:41 AM
. * * Re: Non Tropical model run weathernet   Tue Oct 30 2007 05:51 AM
. * * Non Tropical model run danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 30 2007 05:33 AM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas scottsvb   Tue Oct 30 2007 04:37 AM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas weathernet   Tue Oct 30 2007 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 30 2007 12:42 AM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas cieldumort   Tue Oct 30 2007 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas nowhammies   Tue Oct 30 2007 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:45 PM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Hati, Moving Toward Bahamas cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Noel Northwest of Haiti, Moving Toward Bahamas vineyardsaker   Mon Oct 29 2007 10:43 PM

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