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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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Clark
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Posts: 1710
Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast
      Sat Nov 03 2007 12:39 AM

Noel's long since gone extratropical, but recon is flying a mission in the storm this evening. It's quite the interesting mission, as you don't often see them with transitioning -- yet alone transitioned -- systems. The center is very broad with 976-977mb pressures widespread from 32.5N to 34N in the 71-72W longitude band. Still a warm core at flight-level (640mb) with inner core temps near +9C and outer core temps around +5-6C, so I'm guessing we're seeing a warm seclusion taking place with Noel. This would be in the GFDL/CMC/HWRF camp and somewhat away from the GFS camp from the past couple of days' worth of model runs.

For those curious, the most recent report (0427z) suggests peak surface winds at 75kt with max flight level winds in the 65-70kt range. These max surface winds are well away from the center; southeastern quadrant, 150+ km from the center, somewhat broad but not overly so. All in all, the thermal and wind fields are very much akin to what we'd expect to see with a warm seclusion.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast MikeCAdministrator Sat Nov 03 2007 12:39 AM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast Old Sailor   Mon Nov 05 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast cieldumort   Sun Nov 04 2007 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast danielwAdministrator   Sun Nov 04 2007 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast danielwAdministrator   Sun Nov 04 2007 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast blizzardnut   Sun Nov 04 2007 08:14 AM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast Clark   Sat Nov 03 2007 12:39 AM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast allan   Fri Nov 02 2007 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast cieldumort   Fri Nov 02 2007 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 02 2007 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast sailor   Fri Nov 02 2007 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast blizzardnut   Fri Nov 02 2007 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 02 2007 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast allan   Fri Nov 02 2007 10:43 AM
. * * Re: Noel Becomes a Hurricane, Races North Northeast sailor   Fri Nov 02 2007 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Just in theory - could that happen? allan   Fri Nov 02 2007 10:05 AM
. * * Re: Just in theory - could that happen? Doombot!   Fri Nov 02 2007 09:50 AM
. * * Just in theory - could that happen? vineyardsaker   Fri Nov 02 2007 08:33 AM

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