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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2321
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Winding Down
      Fri Nov 09 2007 02:41 PM

Excellent recovery 92L has had as it approached and is now traversing the Azores today. ST back up to 2.5/2.5, and this assessment looks very fair as the system is arguably in the healthiest shape it has been thus far, recently had a nearby ship report of about 41 knots, and is clearly subtropical. It is surprising NHC has not mentioned anything about it in the morning TWOs. Nor has NRL put the low back up as an "active system." I can't imagine they would let this feature go away without flagging it for at least a cursory post-season second look.

Down in the Caribbean the ongoing disturbed weather associated with what was formerly Invest 91L, now blended with two or three decaying frontal boundaries and starting to meld with the ITCZ, continues to have some tepid model support for even more impressive regeneration. It would seem that if anything at all starts to come of this in the next few, it would do so about right over or either side of Panama, which could just as easily toss it inland or out into the eastern Pacific, as let it linger over Caribbean waters.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Winding Down Ed DunhamAdministrator Fri Nov 09 2007 02:41 PM
. * * Re: late entry? cchsweatherman   Sun Dec 09 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: late entry? cieldumort   Sun Dec 09 2007 02:27 AM
. * * late entry? HanKFranK   Sat Dec 08 2007 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Sat Dec 01 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down Rabbit   Sat Dec 01 2007 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down saluki   Sat Dec 01 2007 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 27 2007 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Sun Nov 11 2007 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Fri Nov 09 2007 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Wed Nov 07 2007 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down Storm Hobbyist   Tue Nov 06 2007 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Tue Nov 06 2007 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down allan   Mon Nov 05 2007 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down Old Sailor   Mon Nov 05 2007 10:38 PM

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