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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 21 (Milton) , Major: 21 (Milton) Florida - Any: 21 (Milton) Major: 21 (Milton)
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2484
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Winding Down
      Sat Dec 01 2007 03:56 PM

Things really did wind down in November. We had Noel, a potent hybrid gale over the Azores, and the severed tail of Noel that attempted to pull something off over the course of several days, and at least on two occasions started to come pretty close.. And then, crickets. It's been a shear-lover's paradise.

For the first time in weeks, the Atlantic this weekend does have a feature centered near 25N 55W that could get an Invest tag slapped on it. It has a long way to go to become tropical, however. Currently, the best convection is well-displaced to the east of the center. In fact, the center has been nearly void of deep convection.

What this non-tropical low does have going for it is a relatively favorable shear environment, marginally-supportive SSTs (relative to it's cold core), a favorable water vapor environment, and perhaps some more time out over lukewarm waters without any imminent detrimental interruptions. Something a little interesting for the off-season, if nothing else.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Winding Down Ed DunhamAdministrator Sat Dec 01 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: late entry? cchsweatherman   Sun Dec 09 2007 04:54 PM
. * * Re: late entry? cieldumort   Sun Dec 09 2007 02:27 AM
. * * late entry? HanKFranK   Sat Dec 08 2007 10:39 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Sat Dec 01 2007 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down Rabbit   Sat Dec 01 2007 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down saluki   Sat Dec 01 2007 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 27 2007 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Sun Nov 11 2007 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Fri Nov 09 2007 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Wed Nov 07 2007 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down Storm Hobbyist   Tue Nov 06 2007 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down cieldumort   Tue Nov 06 2007 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Winding Down allan   Mon Nov 05 2007 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Winding Down Old Sailor   Mon Nov 05 2007 10:38 PM

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