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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#26 4:00 am EDT
19.6N 85.5W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 964mb
Moving:
W at 16 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2343
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean
      Sun Dec 09 2007 08:41 PM

Cyclonic flow continues looking healthiest a good bit above the surface, but today's persistent blowup of somewhat deeper convection seems to be doing a fair job bringing things ever closer to the surface.

NRL has 94L up at 35 knots, but judging from available scatterometer images, it seems as though these gale-force winds are generally confined to a relatively small arc located north and well-away from the center - perhaps also within a few stronger individual storms, arguably making 94L still far more subtropical, at best. (LINK)

It seems reasonable to conclude that 94L will attempt to consolidate some more about its humble llc, and actually lose that patch of 35 knot winds, at least initially. I would like to see if it develops some deeper central convection during the overnight tonight as it travels over waters that are progressively a little more and more supportive, and brings the radius of maximum winds in a bit more.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator Sun Dec 09 2007 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola cieldumort   Sat Dec 15 2007 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola Storm Hunter   Sat Dec 15 2007 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola cieldumort   Sat Dec 15 2007 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola xxflcyclonexx   Fri Dec 14 2007 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola Cat 5orBust   Fri Dec 14 2007 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Olga loops and recurves? Clark   Wed Dec 12 2007 08:58 PM
. * * Olga loops and recurves? LoisCane   Wed Dec 12 2007 03:52 PM
. * * Re: 2007 Season With NO Reason Lamar-Plant City   Wed Dec 12 2007 02:28 PM
. * * Re: 2007 Season With NO Reason BillD   Tue Dec 11 2007 10:51 PM
. * * 2007 Season With NO Reason danielwAdministrator   Tue Dec 11 2007 12:28 AM
. * * SubTS Olga danielwAdministrator   Mon Dec 10 2007 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Dec 10 2007 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Mon Dec 10 2007 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Hugh   Mon Dec 10 2007 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Mon Dec 10 2007 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Mon Dec 10 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Mon Dec 10 2007 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Dec 10 2007 06:43 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Mon Dec 10 2007 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Bloodstar   Mon Dec 10 2007 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Sun Dec 09 2007 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean cieldumort   Sun Dec 09 2007 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Tony Cristaldi   Sun Dec 09 2007 08:17 PM

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