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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#26 4:00 am EDT
19.6N 85.5W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 964mb
Moving:
W at 16 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean
      Mon Dec 10 2007 08:32 PM

Notice that most of all the 00Z this evening have shifted back to the north after the 3 day plots... I'm using a GE product and looks like a general westward movement for the next couple of days... agree with clark that the window appears to be getting smaller with time on this system... although... there is a nice blow-up of convection still on going this evening... should be ineresting to see if it holds and what NHC thinking is... i would expect based on how things went this year... a wait and see... then maybe in the morning a classification... then again... what are the short term effects.... the islands that are in the path... mudslides... so i'm sure if they expect based on what the models show coming up... they may air on the side of caution.... didn't one of this islands have flooding problems this year and lose a lot of lives? I'm curious with some of the models over the us GFS/ECMWF... seems there having a time with this weekend setup, especially over the central and southeast US, if this system that is causing the models to jump around?? I know the jet stream looks to dive across the country... but where will 94L be by saturday/Sunday? NW Carribean?

Food for thought:
0330 PM EST MON 10 DEC 2007
WSPOD NUMBER.....07-010 AMENDMENT

NOTE: (ADDED) TROPICAL CYCLONE REQUIREMENTS...A RESOURCES
PERMITTING LOW-LEVEL INVEST INTO A SUSPECT AREA NEAR
HISPANIOLA:
FLIGHT ONE--TEAL 70
A. 11/2000Z
B. AFXXX 01KKA INVEST
C. 11/1530Z
D. 18.5N 68.0W
E. 11/1500Z TO 11/1830Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
SEF


--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Mon Dec 10 2007 08:36 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator Mon Dec 10 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola cieldumort   Sat Dec 15 2007 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola Storm Hunter   Sat Dec 15 2007 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola cieldumort   Sat Dec 15 2007 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola xxflcyclonexx   Fri Dec 14 2007 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Olga Moving Over Hispaniola Cat 5orBust   Fri Dec 14 2007 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Olga loops and recurves? Clark   Wed Dec 12 2007 08:58 PM
. * * Olga loops and recurves? LoisCane   Wed Dec 12 2007 03:52 PM
. * * Re: 2007 Season With NO Reason Lamar-Plant City   Wed Dec 12 2007 02:28 PM
. * * Re: 2007 Season With NO Reason BillD   Tue Dec 11 2007 10:51 PM
. * * 2007 Season With NO Reason danielwAdministrator   Tue Dec 11 2007 12:28 AM
. * * SubTS Olga danielwAdministrator   Mon Dec 10 2007 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Dec 10 2007 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Mon Dec 10 2007 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Hugh   Mon Dec 10 2007 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Mon Dec 10 2007 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Mon Dec 10 2007 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Mon Dec 10 2007 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Dec 10 2007 06:43 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Mon Dec 10 2007 06:38 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Bloodstar   Mon Dec 10 2007 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Clark   Sun Dec 09 2007 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean cieldumort   Sun Dec 09 2007 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Post Season... Watch Disturbance Northeast of the Caribbean Tony Cristaldi   Sun Dec 09 2007 08:17 PM

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