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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Olga Remnants Approaching Florida
      Sat Dec 29 2007 01:39 AM

SSD is now tracking the cutoff low we've been discussing recently: ( Invest "90L" - should actually have been 95L, but they fixed it later)

28/2345 UTC 25.9N 38.2W ST1.5/1.5 90L -- Atlantic Ocean


NRL will probably have it up soon enough.

7PM TWD

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
OF INTEREST IS THE DEEP CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 26N38W. THIS
SYSTEM HAS REMAINED STATIONARY FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS AND
ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS STARTING TO DEVELOP. QUIKSCAT WINDS
SUGGEST THAT THERE ARE SOME GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM...BUT THERE MAY BE SOME RAIN
CONTAMINATION IN THE OBSERVED WINDS. THE MAIN BAROCLINIC ZONE
REMAINS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AND ITS FRONTAL
STRUCTURE HAS TRANSITIONED TO A WEAK TRAILING TROUGH. THE FSU
CYCLONE PHASE SPACE ANALYSES INDICATED THAT THE CYCLONE MAY BE
BECOMING A HYBRID SYSTEM...BUT UNTIL MORE SYMMETRIC DEEP
CONVECTION DEVELOPS IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONSIDERED AN
OCCLUDED LOW. VERTICAL SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM IS RELATIVELY WEAK
AS THE UPPER PORTION OF THE CYCLONE IS DISPLACED SOMEWHAT
NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. THIS LOW-MODERATE SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT MAY ONLY LAST FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO BEFORE STRONG
UPPER WESTERLIES IMPACT THE SYSTEM WITH THE APPROACH OF A
VIGOROUS SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. THE CYCLONE SHOULD MEANDER IN PLACE
FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS BEFORE MOVING OFF SLOWLY TO THE WEST OR
SOUTHWEST.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/290006.shtml?


Edited by cieldumort (Sat Dec 29 2007 07:24 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Olga Remnants Approaching Florida MikeCAdministrator Sat Dec 29 2007 01:39 AM
. * * Re: One Last storm? Rich B   Sat Dec 29 2007 10:42 AM
. * * Re: One Last storm? cieldumort   Sat Dec 29 2007 06:27 AM
. * * Re: One Last storm? danielwAdministrator   Sat Dec 29 2007 06:20 AM
. * * One Last storm? danielwAdministrator   Sat Dec 29 2007 06:03 AM
. * * Re: Olga Remnants Approaching Florida Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Dec 29 2007 03:54 AM
. * * Re: Olga Remnants Approaching Florida cieldumort   Sat Dec 29 2007 01:39 AM
. * * Re: one last hybrid Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Dec 28 2007 08:37 PM
. * * Re: one last hybrid cieldumort   Fri Dec 28 2007 08:36 PM
. * * Re: one last hybrid allan   Fri Dec 28 2007 02:56 PM
. * * one last hybrid HanKFranK   Wed Dec 26 2007 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Olga Remnants Approaching Florida allan   Sun Dec 16 2007 06:35 AM

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