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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
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cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2488
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: ST Low?
      Fri Mar 07 2008 12:31 AM

This is becoming a more interesting feature to watch. I went to sleep last night and dreamt that I awoke to finding it had an Invest tag slapped on it overnight, so if my powers of clairvoyance are intact lol.

I think that the low is still showing clear signs of being having been undergoing warm seclusion. It's still quite frontal in nature. However, the parent ULL has certainly about cut off, and the fronts are becoming less obvious, with time. The most recent QuikSCAT pass looks remarkably symmetrical, with winds arguably sustained up to gale force near the center. Taken together with SSTs of around 67-69 F, all things considered, I think that enough cold air aloft exists for at least a little more transition into something that resembles a more classic-looking hybrid, but the process, if it does occur, will probably be a little slow, and the window might be small.

Floater 2


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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st MikeCAdministrator Fri Mar 07 2008 12:31 AM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st danielwAdministrator   Sun May 25 2008 09:25 PM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st WeatherNLU   Sun May 25 2008 01:41 PM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st typhoon_tip   Thu May 22 2008 01:34 PM
. * * Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Storm Hunter   Thu May 22 2008 11:52 AM
. * * Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Storm Hunter   Wed May 21 2008 12:43 AM
. * * Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Storm Hunter   Tue May 20 2008 02:36 PM
. * * Re: fun with models danielwAdministrator   Mon May 19 2008 11:27 PM
. * * Re: fun with models danielwAdministrator   Mon May 19 2008 10:54 PM
. * * fun with models HanKFranK   Sun May 18 2008 09:15 AM
. * * Re: retirements? poopface29   Wed May 14 2008 06:36 PM
. * * Re: retirements? HURRICANELONNY   Wed May 14 2008 05:05 PM
. * * Re: retirements? Storm Hunter   Wed May 14 2008 03:20 PM
. * * Re: retirements? BillD   Mon May 12 2008 10:11 PM
. * * retirements? HanKFranK   Sat May 10 2008 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Second Tropical Wave of Season The user   Fri May 02 2008 08:46 PM
. * * Second Tropical Wave of Season cchsweatherman   Fri May 02 2008 04:47 PM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st the user   Thu May 01 2008 08:13 AM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st joe2226   Thu May 01 2008 03:07 AM
. * * Re: ENSO Update Hurricane29   Tue Apr 29 2008 07:11 PM
. * * Re: ENSO Update dr. hurricane   Tue Apr 29 2008 02:45 PM
. * * Re: ENSO Update Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Apr 28 2008 12:15 AM
. * * Re: ENSO Update dr.hurricane   Sun Apr 27 2008 12:37 PM
. * * Re: ENSO Update Hurricane29   Sat Apr 26 2008 11:49 AM
. * * ENSO Update danielwAdministrator   Wed Apr 23 2008 08:44 PM
. * * Re: SSTs revisited Lamar-Plant City   Mon Apr 21 2008 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Something Tropical Brewing near Trinidad? cieldumort   Mon Apr 21 2008 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Something Tropical Brewing near Trinidad? welp   Sun Apr 20 2008 12:36 AM
. * * Something Tropical Brewing near Trinidad? cchsweatherman   Sat Apr 12 2008 08:58 PM
. * * Re: First Atlantic Tropical Wave of 2008 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Apr 12 2008 08:43 AM
. * * Re: SSTs revisited poopface   Fri Apr 11 2008 03:37 AM
. * * First Atlantic Tropical Wave of 2008 danielwAdministrator   Fri Apr 11 2008 01:04 AM
. * * Re: Additional SST images Hurricane29   Mon Apr 07 2008 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Additional SST images danielwAdministrator   Sat Apr 05 2008 11:55 PM
. * * Additional SST images danielwAdministrator   Sat Apr 05 2008 11:43 PM
. * * Re: SSTs revisited danielwAdministrator   Tue Apr 01 2008 04:52 AM
. * * Re: SSTs revisited Hurricane29   Mon Mar 31 2008 03:36 PM
. * * Re: SSTs revisited Lamar-Plant City   Mon Mar 31 2008 02:57 PM
. * * SSTs revisited danielwAdministrator   Sun Mar 30 2008 08:43 PM
. * * Eastern and Middle GOM Buoy Water Temps danielwAdministrator   Sun Mar 30 2008 06:39 AM
. * * Current SSTs vs April 20,2007 danielwAdministrator   Sat Mar 29 2008 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Warm SSTs Already??? danielwAdministrator   Sat Mar 29 2008 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Warm SSTs Already??? Random Chaos   Sat Mar 29 2008 12:57 AM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st cchsweatherman   Thu Mar 27 2008 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Warm SSTs Already??? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Mar 26 2008 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Warm SSTs Already??? Valandil   Wed Mar 26 2008 05:23 AM
. * * Re: Warm SSTs Already??? cieldumort   Tue Mar 25 2008 08:29 PM
. * * Re: Warm SSTs Already??? Random Chaos   Tue Mar 25 2008 12:07 AM
. * * Warm SSTs Already??? danielwAdministrator   Mon Mar 24 2008 11:10 PM
. * * 2008 Hurricane Season danielwAdministrator   Mon Mar 24 2008 01:26 AM
. * * Re: ST Low? cieldumort   Fri Mar 07 2008 12:31 AM
. * * ST Low? Bloodstar   Thu Mar 06 2008 12:04 PM
. * * Re: off-season stuff Rabbit   Thu Mar 06 2008 11:57 AM
. * * Re: off-season stuff cieldumort   Sun Jan 13 2008 02:05 PM
. * * Re: off-season stuff danielwAdministrator   Sun Jan 13 2008 12:49 PM
. * * off-season stuff HanKFranK   Thu Jan 10 2008 06:23 PM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st cieldumort   Thu Jan 10 2008 12:29 AM
. * * Re: 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins June 1st danielwAdministrator   Wed Jan 09 2008 08:24 PM

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