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Although still very unlikely to develop or be very strong, there could be an area to watch in the in little more than a week out from energy currently associated with the systems in the East Pacific.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall — US Any: 607 (Milton), US Major: 607 (Milton), FL Any: 607 (Milton), FL Major: 607 (Milton)
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News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge
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allan
Weather Master


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Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Carribean Predictions
      Sun May 25 2008 06:29 PM

Allrighty, now that some models are going with the GFS on this possible system, I'm making a forum on it. Now that I have seen agreement with the NOGAPS, now somewhat the CMC (still getting around there), and the GFS, I have a higher confidence that it might actually form by the end of the week. Right now, nothing can form for a few days due to higher pressures that are coming out in the Western Carribean. However, the moisture from the Pacific side might as some models are showing, swing northeast into the WC and possible form the forst depression or storm of the season. Most of the runs yesterday from the GFS had a hurricane hitting the Yucitan, then heading north into the GOM. The water tempuratures favor strengthening and if the GFS actually verifies, an anticyclone will form over the area. Now if we get an early storm does not mean we will have a hyperactive season, I'm really following the ENSO conditions in the Pacific Ocean. After 2005 and 2006, anything can happen, could be active or quiet. I'll have more info on the "possible" WC storm as more days pass and we know more about it. Comments anyone???

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Carribean Predictions allan Sun May 25 2008 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Carribean Predictions hugo survivor   Mon May 26 2008 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Carribean Predictions hurricaneguy   Mon May 26 2008 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Carribean Predictions AprilDriesse   Sat May 31 2008 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Carribean Predictions Genesis   Sun Jun 01 2008 07:26 PM

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