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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

danielw
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Invest 90E
Wed May 28 2008 12:02 AM

Latest Update... 30 minutes ago. It doesn't look good, to me, at this point in time.

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC WED MAY 28 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES AND LOWS...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 7WW HAS BEEN MOVING W AN AN ESTIMATED 12
KT AND THIS MOTION SHOULD MOVE THE WAVE INTO THE EPAC WATERS
ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TONIGHT.

A BROAD AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DOMINATES THE SW CARIBBEAN
AND THE E PAC ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ALTHOUGH
SEVERAL CYCLONIC SWIRLS ARE NOTED WITHIN THIS AREA...THE OVERALL
PATTERN SEEMS TO SUGGEST SLIGHT ORGANIZATION CENTERED ON ROUGHLY
09N89W. THIS IS WHERE OUR MARINE PRODUCTS HAVE SUGGESTED A
SURFACE LOW...POSSIBLY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...WOULD DEVELOP. MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT THIS LOW PRESSURE WILL
MEANDER IN THIS AREA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND PERHAPS DRIFT
NE LATER THIS WEEK. THE UPPER PATTERN IS ALSO NOT EXPECTED TO
CHANGE TONIGHT AND EARLY WED BUT THEREAFTER SEVERAL CHANGES ARE
FORECAST. AN UPPER LOW WILL SPIN UP OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
OR CUT OFF FROM AN UPPER TROUGH...AND DRIFT S FRI WHILE AN UPPER
ANTICYCLONE DEVELOPS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN REPLACING THE UPPER
TROUGH CURRENTLY DISSECTING THE CARIBBEAN. THIS WOULD ALLOW A
SURFACE LOW TO MOVE NW ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA OVER GULF OF
HONDURAS. SHOULD ALSO MENTION THAT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SECOND
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND MOVE NW
THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE MENTIONED ABOVE
MAY ADD THE NEEDED LOW LEVEL VORTICITY TO GET ALL OF THIS
SPINNING. NOTE THAT THE GRADIENT S OF THE E PAC LOW PRESSURE IS
ALREADY SUPPORTING A SW TO W 20 TO 25 KT WIND AND SEAS TO ABOUT
11 FT. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST S OF THE LOW
THROUGH 48 HOURS.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	MikeC	Wed May 28 2008 12:02 AM
Re: clear CDO there... shows well on NRL site close up	LoisCane	Thu May 29 2008 01:25 PM
Re: clear CDO there... shows well on NRL site close up	MichaelA	Thu May 29 2008 12:34 PM
Re: clear CDO there... shows well on NRL site close up	doug	Thu May 29 2008 12:29 PM
Re: clear CDO there... shows well on NRL site close up	cieldumort	Thu May 29 2008 12:11 PM
clear CDO there... shows well on NRL site close up	LoisCane	Thu May 29 2008 11:52 AM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	hofloka	Thu May 29 2008 11:16 AM
Tropical Depression 1E Now Tropical Storm Alma	cchsweatherman	Thu May 29 2008 08:53 AM
Re: TD 01E	punkyg	Thu May 29 2008 07:57 AM
Re: TD 01E	cieldumort	Thu May 29 2008 05:36 AM
Re: TD 01E	scottsvb	Thu May 29 2008 12:56 AM
Re: TD 01E	dem05	Thu May 29 2008 12:03 AM
Re: TD 01E	danielw	Thu May 29 2008 12:01 AM
Re: TD 01E	Clark	Wed May 28 2008 11:30 PM
Re: TD 01E	HanKFranK	Wed May 28 2008 10:16 PM
Re: TD 01E	dem05	Wed May 28 2008 10:06 PM
Re: TD 01E	dem05	Wed May 28 2008 09:51 PM
Re: TD 01E	Hugh	Wed May 28 2008 09:50 PM
TD 01E	cieldumort	Wed May 28 2008 09:24 PM
Re: Invest 90E	cieldumort	Wed May 28 2008 08:54 PM
Re: Invest 90E	dem05	Wed May 28 2008 08:29 PM
Re: Invest 90E	HurricaneKid	Wed May 28 2008 08:09 PM
Re: Invest 90E	cieldumort	Wed May 28 2008 07:48 PM
Re: Invest 90E	dem05	Wed May 28 2008 05:43 PM
Re: Invest 90E	scottsvb	Wed May 28 2008 02:45 PM
Re: Invest 90E	Storm Hunter	Wed May 28 2008 02:24 PM
Re: Invest 90E	Maitland, FL	Wed May 28 2008 11:37 AM
Re: Invest 90E	rmbjoe1954	Wed May 28 2008 09:16 AM
Re: Invest 90E	cieldumort	Wed May 28 2008 03:19 AM
Re: Invest 90E	danielw	Wed May 28 2008 12:02 AM
Re: Invest 90E	dem05	Tue May 27 2008 11:03 PM
Re: Invest 90E	Storm Hunter	Tue May 27 2008 09:26 PM
Re: Invest 90E	rmbjoe1954	Tue May 27 2008 04:26 PM
Invest 90E	cchsweatherman	Tue May 27 2008 02:51 PM
Re: this week	C.A.	Tue May 27 2008 11:34 AM
Re: this week	scottsvb	Mon May 26 2008 02:45 PM
this week	Storm Hunter	Mon May 26 2008 01:40 PM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	weatherguy08	Mon May 26 2008 01:01 PM
Re: this weeks tropics	scottsvb	Mon May 26 2008 01:54 AM
this weeks tropics	Storm Hunter	Mon May 26 2008 01:09 AM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	Storm Hunter	Sun May 25 2008 11:53 AM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	typhoon_tip	Sat May 24 2008 02:40 PM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	craigm	Fri May 23 2008 07:23 PM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	allan	Fri May 23 2008 05:42 PM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	scottsvb	Fri May 23 2008 03:00 AM
Re: First Day of Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season	dem05	Fri May 23 2008 01:06 AM

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