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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

alma inland
Thu May 29 2008 10:18 PM

that's a first. we just had a tropical storm strength system come ashore east of the mexico/guatemala border on the pacific side... not another like it in the record. sure, there was adrian in 2005 that rapidly weakened to a depression before coming in on the narrow coastline of honduras, and barbara NEARLY made it last year around this time (just west of the border). this storm is way east of either, and stronger than both. true that there are a couple of odd storms on the atlantic record that strangely have their origins in pacific waters. those probably reduce the significance of this storm somewhat.
it'll be a couple days before we get an idea just how much mess this thing caused. coastal impact shouldn't be too great.. winds were only around 50kt, only a couple of bays on that side, not really any offshore shallows to run up a surge or the wind to create one. the storm's entire legacy will revolve around how much rain it drops in central america, and what results. it's fairly slow moving and evolved inside a large monsoon trough, so there will probably be some grim news from that part of the world by the weekend.
my prog on it's future.. is just right of the forecast track, just like the storm has trended. maybe it will creep into the gulf of honduras just a bit, maybe into the lower bowl of the bay of campeche.. but there isn't much reason to believe that the storm won't spend much more time on land and eventually dissipate. i think the nhc decay is too fast.. once it clears the mountainous terrain on the western side of central america it's over less rugged terrain and potentially coastal lowlands. expect it will be around at least a couple of more days.
still a highly fluid situation as far as some kind of redevelopment or secondary development, although chances do not appear high at this point. so far the official line on alma hasn't quite hit the mark, so i'm not ready to discount the idea just yet. like some of the others are implying.. the overall pattern would not be unfavorable for something to end up near the yucatan next week; it just isn't clear how that might unfold, at this point.
HF 2318z29may

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
East Pacific Alma Over Land	MikeC	Thu May 29 2008 10:18 PM
Administrative Note	Ed Dunham	Sat May 31 2008 08:41 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Storm Hunter	Sat May 31 2008 08:36 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	DarleneCane	Sat May 31 2008 08:13 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	dem05	Sat May 31 2008 07:59 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	HCW	Sat May 31 2008 07:37 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	pschex	Sat May 31 2008 07:08 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Hugh	Sat May 31 2008 07:03 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Storm Hunter	Sat May 31 2008 06:59 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	dem05	Sat May 31 2008 06:36 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Storm Hunter	Sat May 31 2008 06:29 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Hugh	Sat May 31 2008 06:19 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	cieldumort	Sat May 31 2008 06:13 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	HanKFranK	Sat May 31 2008 06:10 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	dem05	Sat May 31 2008 06:00 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	xxflcyclonexx	Sat May 31 2008 05:46 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Rich B	Sat May 31 2008 05:37 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Hugh	Sat May 31 2008 05:29 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Old Sailor	Sat May 31 2008 05:25 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	dem05	Sat May 31 2008 05:19 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Hugh	Sat May 31 2008 05:08 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	MichaelA	Sat May 31 2008 05:06 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Ricreig	Sat May 31 2008 05:03 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	MichaelA	Sat May 31 2008 04:54 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Hugh	Sat May 31 2008 04:43 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	scottsvb	Sat May 31 2008 04:40 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Hugh	Sat May 31 2008 04:23 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	weathernet	Sat May 31 2008 04:01 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Over Land	allan	Sat May 31 2008 03:49 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	scottsvb	Sat May 31 2008 03:13 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	MichaelA	Sat May 31 2008 03:05 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	doug	Sat May 31 2008 02:15 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	DarleneCane	Sat May 31 2008 01:33 PM
Re: alma starts a fight	Hugh	Sat May 31 2008 01:23 PM
alma starts a fight	HanKFranK	Sat May 31 2008 10:48 AM
Re: Invest 90L Intensifying	Rich B	Sat May 31 2008 09:55 AM
Invest 90L Intensifying	cieldumort	Sat May 31 2008 04:45 AM
Re: We now have 90L	weatherguy08	Sat May 31 2008 02:43 AM
Re: We now have 90L	Old Sailor	Sat May 31 2008 01:26 AM
Re: We now have 90L	MichaelA	Fri May 30 2008 11:03 PM
We now have 90L	Bloodstar	Fri May 30 2008 10:48 PM
Re: dropped?	MichaelA	Fri May 30 2008 10:34 PM
dropped?	HanKFranK	Fri May 30 2008 10:09 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Over Land	cieldumort	Fri May 30 2008 09:43 PM
Re: alma inland	MichaelA	Fri May 30 2008 05:08 PM
Re: alma inland	Storm Hunter	Fri May 30 2008 03:21 PM
Re: alma inland	allan	Fri May 30 2008 02:59 PM
Re: alma inland	doug	Fri May 30 2008 02:58 PM
Re: alma inland	MichaelA	Fri May 30 2008 02:27 PM
Re: alma inland	Hugh	Fri May 30 2008 12:01 PM
Re: alma inland	Beach	Fri May 30 2008 11:31 AM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane	Maitland, FL	Fri May 30 2008 11:19 AM
Re: alma inland	dem05	Fri May 30 2008 06:29 AM
Re: alma inland	Storm Hunter	Fri May 30 2008 05:42 AM
Re: alma inland	dem05	Fri May 30 2008 01:36 AM
alma inland	HanKFranK	Thu May 29 2008 10:18 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane	allan	Thu May 29 2008 08:57 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane	MichaelA	Thu May 29 2008 08:15 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane	srquirrely	Thu May 29 2008 07:31 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane	scottsvb	Thu May 29 2008 06:58 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane	Storm Hunter	Thu May 29 2008 06:56 PM
Re: East Pacific Alma Likely to Become Hurricane	Beach	Thu May 29 2008 05:38 PM

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