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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
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craigm
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 327
Loc: Palm City, Florida
Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals
      Thu Jun 05 2008 09:44 PM

Quote:

Was that the same set up when Betsy crossed through Florida into La?

I've heard that theory. Then again is there an indicator how far north that works?

How does a place like Savannah get hit by a storm? The high is holding tight across the whole SE part of the country.



DC, You can never rule out a landfall anywhere along the east coast.
Watch this loop and you can see the fluid nature of the high and low pressure areas. When a storm turns north it is finding a weakness in the high pressure area.
The blue areas are low pressure and the yelow and orange are the highs. You can see how everything is constantly changing however the bermuda high persists over the Atlantic, during Hurricane season,with weaknesses developing periodically which allow storms to escape northward. This is a loop of the Navy model but you will see something similar on all of them.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.cgi?time=2008060512&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals weathernet Thu Jun 05 2008 09:44 PM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals AprilDriesse   Wed Jun 04 2008 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals Lamar-Plant City   Wed Jun 04 2008 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals craigm   Thu Jun 05 2008 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals DarleneCane   Thu Jun 05 2008 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals craigm   Thu Jun 05 2008 09:44 PM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals craigm   Tue Jun 03 2008 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals weathernet   Tue Jun 03 2008 09:58 PM
. * * Re: Increased S. Florida Hurricane Risk? - May Precip. Totals MichaelA   Tue Jun 03 2008 05:15 PM

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