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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

dem05
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Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: Brewing in the SE
      Fri Jun 13 2008 12:15 AM

Well, not much going on in the tropics right now...

The area in the Gulf of Mexico is a mid level area of vorticity, which is likely a remenant reflection of thunderstorms that moved off the Yucatan Penninsul yesterday afternoon plus the combination of some mid level reflection of the Upper Level Low that is in the Bay of Camp. There isn't any evidence that this will transition into a tropical cyclone as low level cloud motion is moving fairly swiftly as ese'rly and se'rly winds underneath the entire area. There is no support for a low level transition out there under these circumstances. Thunderstorm development remains unimpressive and actually shows continued evidence of winding down. So it doesn't look like the Gulf of Mexico will be an area of development with this feature.

The disturbed area east of the windwards may be something to watch once it reaches the western Caribbean in several days. For now, the area remains unconducive for development and the thunderstorms...as active and "blobular" as they may seem, are well removed to the NE from the most ideal area of turning. The continued shear may keep those storms going, but will proclude development. In the next day or so, the wave will encounter increasingly inhospitable conditions in the Eastern Caribbean Hurricane Boneyard. Especially considering the southerly track this wave will be moving along (i.e. mostly over land)...So in 3 days...we shall see what may be left of it and what the conditions of the western Caribbean may be.

Edited by dem05 (Fri Jun 13 2008 02:30 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Quiet Mid June MikeCAdministrator Fri Jun 13 2008 12:15 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 18 2008 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June Hurikid   Wed Jun 18 2008 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 16 2008 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June DarleneCane   Sun Jun 15 2008 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June Hurikid   Sun Jun 15 2008 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June tropics   Fri Jun 13 2008 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June JoshuaK   Fri Jun 13 2008 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June tropics   Fri Jun 13 2008 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June doug   Fri Jun 13 2008 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE dem05   Fri Jun 13 2008 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE JoshuaK   Fri Jun 13 2008 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE Beach   Fri Jun 13 2008 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE dem05   Fri Jun 13 2008 12:15 AM
. * * Re: 91L allan   Thu Jun 12 2008 08:27 PM
. * * Re: 91L MichaelA   Thu Jun 12 2008 07:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L (and Gulf Of Mexico) nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Jun 12 2008 03:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L weathernet   Thu Jun 12 2008 04:44 AM
. * * Re: 91L HCW   Wed Jun 11 2008 03:52 PM
. * * Re: 91L MichaelA   Wed Jun 11 2008 03:45 PM
. * * 91L NewWatcher   Wed Jun 11 2008 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June MichaelA   Wed Jun 11 2008 01:34 PM

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