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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

dem05
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Reged:
Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL

Re: Brewing in the SE
Thu Jun 12 2008 08:15 PM

Well, not much going on in the tropics right now...

The area in the Gulf of Mexico is a mid level area of vorticity, which is likely a remenant reflection of thunderstorms that moved off the Yucatan Penninsul yesterday afternoon plus the combination of some mid level reflection of the Upper Level Low that is in the Bay of Camp. There isn't any evidence that this will transition into a tropical cyclone as low level cloud motion is moving fairly swiftly as ese'rly and se'rly winds underneath the entire area. There is no support for a low level transition out there under these circumstances. Thunderstorm development remains unimpressive and actually shows continued evidence of winding down. So it doesn't look like the Gulf of Mexico will be an area of development with this feature.

The disturbed area east of the windwards may be something to watch once it reaches the western Caribbean in several days. For now, the area remains unconducive for development and the thunderstorms...as active and "blobular" as they may seem, are well removed to the NE from the most ideal area of turning. The continued shear may keep those storms going, but will proclude development. In the next day or so, the wave will encounter increasingly inhospitable conditions in the Eastern Caribbean Hurricane Boneyard. Especially considering the southerly track this wave will be moving along (i.e. mostly over land)...So in 3 days...we shall see what may be left of it and what the conditions of the western Caribbean may be.

Edited by dem05 (Thu Jun 12 2008 10:30 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Quiet Mid June	MikeC	Thu Jun 12 2008 08:15 PM
Re: Quiet Mid June	MikeC	Wed Jun 18 2008 01:54 PM
Re: Quiet Mid June	Hurikid	Wed Jun 18 2008 08:59 AM
Re: Quiet Mid June	MikeC	Mon Jun 16 2008 03:53 PM
Re: Quiet Mid June	DarleneCane	Sun Jun 15 2008 04:56 PM
Re: Quiet Mid June	Hurikid	Sun Jun 15 2008 09:22 AM
Re: Quiet Mid June	tropics	Fri Jun 13 2008 04:05 PM
Re: Quiet Mid June	JoshuaK	Fri Jun 13 2008 02:20 PM
Re: Quiet Mid June	tropics	Fri Jun 13 2008 11:06 AM
Re: Quiet Mid June	doug	Fri Jun 13 2008 08:01 AM
Re: Brewing in the SE	dem05	Thu Jun 12 2008 10:52 PM
Re: Brewing in the SE	JoshuaK	Thu Jun 12 2008 10:44 PM
Re: Brewing in the SE	Beach	Thu Jun 12 2008 08:47 PM
Re: Brewing in the SE	dem05	Thu Jun 12 2008 08:15 PM
Re: 91L	allan	Thu Jun 12 2008 04:27 PM
Re: 91L	MichaelA	Thu Jun 12 2008 03:56 PM
Re: 91L (and Gulf Of Mexico)	nc_tropical_wx79	Thu Jun 12 2008 11:11 AM
Re: 91L	weathernet	Thu Jun 12 2008 12:44 AM
Re: 91L	HCW	Wed Jun 11 2008 11:52 AM
Re: 91L	MichaelA	Wed Jun 11 2008 11:45 AM
91L	NewWatcher	Wed Jun 11 2008 10:52 AM
Re: Quiet Mid June	MichaelA	Wed Jun 11 2008 09:34 AM

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