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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

dem05
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Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: Brewing in the SE
      Fri Jun 13 2008 02:52 AM

The water temp is at levels that "could" support development in the far western Atlantic under the approriate conditions. However, the upper level winds are quite prohibitive. At this time, there is a large fetch of westerly and west-south westerly (Upper Level) winds moving across northern South America, the Caribbean, and in particular, the northern Caribbean, Greater Antillies and the west Atlantic (east of the Leewards). The true remenant of 91L is currently moving through Venezuala. The thunderstorm activity presently moving NW toward the Leewards is from the wave that was behind it. It will be interesting to see if the wave from behind continues to move NW or if they keep releatively close together during a continued progression that has been generally toward the WNW. If circumstances (Upper level winds) in the western Caribbean were to improve, then there would be a shot a development. Especially if we get more than one wave to pile up under favorable conditions. Otherwise...development looks like a no go...The models depict this and the satellite imagery (Water Vapor) continue to show unfavorable conditions for development.

Edited by dem05 (Fri Jun 13 2008 02:56 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Quiet Mid June MikeCAdministrator Fri Jun 13 2008 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 18 2008 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June Hurikid   Wed Jun 18 2008 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 16 2008 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June DarleneCane   Sun Jun 15 2008 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June Hurikid   Sun Jun 15 2008 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June tropics   Fri Jun 13 2008 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June JoshuaK   Fri Jun 13 2008 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June tropics   Fri Jun 13 2008 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June doug   Fri Jun 13 2008 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE dem05   Fri Jun 13 2008 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE JoshuaK   Fri Jun 13 2008 02:44 AM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE Beach   Fri Jun 13 2008 12:47 AM
. * * Re: Brewing in the SE dem05   Fri Jun 13 2008 12:15 AM
. * * Re: 91L allan   Thu Jun 12 2008 08:27 PM
. * * Re: 91L MichaelA   Thu Jun 12 2008 07:56 PM
. * * Re: 91L (and Gulf Of Mexico) nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Jun 12 2008 03:11 PM
. * * Re: 91L weathernet   Thu Jun 12 2008 04:44 AM
. * * Re: 91L HCW   Wed Jun 11 2008 03:52 PM
. * * Re: 91L MichaelA   Wed Jun 11 2008 03:45 PM
. * * 91L NewWatcher   Wed Jun 11 2008 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Quiet Mid June MichaelA   Wed Jun 11 2008 01:34 PM

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