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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2322
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Cyclogenesis Now Well Underway
      Fri Jun 27 2008 03:43 AM

Yeah, 94E has been on the cusp for about the last 24 hours. Typically, a T number from the agencies of 1.5 for a run or two can sometimes be enough to push their hand. This one has been up around 2.0 for several cycles. In general, it just needed to be a little less wrapped up in the ITCZ.

Besides, it's not like we have buoys and recon in there to give extra details about what is really going on. 25 knots is probably more than just a little conservative at this point, but there you have it (TD 2E "25 knots")



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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Eastern Pacific Starts Percolating / Invest 94E / MJO Fizzles ?? CoconutCandy Fri Jun 27 2008 03:43 AM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jun 26 2008 11:12 AM
. * * Impressive, Colorful QuikScat View of 94E CoconutCandy   Thu Jun 26 2008 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Eastern Pacific Starts Percolating / Invest 94E / MJO Fizzles ?? cieldumort   Thu Jun 26 2008 03:31 AM
. * * Cyclogenesis Now Underway / 2 Peas in a Pod CoconutCandy   Thu Jun 26 2008 03:33 PM
. * * Cyclogenesis Now Well Underway CoconutCandy   Fri Jun 27 2008 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Cyclogenesis Now Well Underway cieldumort   Fri Jun 27 2008 03:43 AM
. * * Re: Eastern Pacific Starts Percolating / Invest 94E / MJO Fizzles ?? cieldumort   Thu Jun 26 2008 03:51 AM

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