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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#25 10:00 pm EDT
19.5N 84.3W
Wind: 110MPH
Pres: 974mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks
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allan
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics
      Mon Jun 30 2008 10:41 AM

With the MJO pulse in the atlantic, I find the 5 models that are in agreement with our first CV storm reasonable. Shear should relax and it's possible with all the time it has it could become a strong storm. the GFS, NOGAPS, CMC, UKMET, and EURO show a weak TS in a few days traveling across the Atlantic, the track is uncertain but most models keep it as south as Dean (2007) and Ivan (2004). Also if the High keeps put and stays strong enough, a recurvature is less likely, but not impossible. It's just something to keep an eye on.

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Still Quiet in the Tropics MikeCAdministrator Mon Jun 30 2008 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Invest 92L- July 1 Steve H1   Tue Jul 01 2008 02:15 PM
. * * Invest 92L- July 1 danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2008 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics tropics   Tue Jul 01 2008 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2008 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Storm Hunter   Mon Jun 30 2008 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics LoisCane   Mon Jun 30 2008 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics rmbjoe1954   Mon Jun 30 2008 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics allan   Mon Jun 30 2008 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics DarleneCane   Sat Jun 28 2008 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics cieldumort   Sat Jun 28 2008 03:59 AM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs Storm Hunter   Thu Jun 26 2008 01:38 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 25 2008 12:43 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs Storm Hunter   Tue Jun 24 2008 09:06 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs islandtime   Tue Jun 24 2008 04:39 PM
. * * Re: GOM SSTs lawgator1   Tue Jun 24 2008 03:20 PM
. * * GOM SSTs danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 23 2008 11:46 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics scottsvb   Mon Jun 23 2008 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Beach   Mon Jun 23 2008 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics scottsvb   Mon Jun 23 2008 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics cieldumort   Mon Jun 23 2008 03:56 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics dem05   Mon Jun 23 2008 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Bay of Campeche Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 22 2008 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 22 2008 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics Hurricane29   Sun Jun 22 2008 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 21 2008 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet in the Tropics danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 21 2008 01:07 PM

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