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CoconutCandy
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Loc: Beautiful Honolulu Hawaii
'Invest Mongering' Media Ploy / Reality Check
      Tue Jul 01 2008 01:59 PM

Quote:



"As impressive as this wave looks. I'm still wondering if they are not jumping the gun with the invest tag. SST are marginal at best. The convection is not all that impressive since it hit the open water. I hate to say it, but the NHC has taken alot of heat in the last few years. I'm wondering if they are pandering to the media with this wave. It looks to be media driven wave mongering."

- Registered User M.A. from a recent posting on the 2008 Storm Forum





Very enlightening. Your rationale is very keen. And I tend to agree; they really jumped to the invest stage early with this wave.

It's ironic that the EastPac's soon-to-be TD 4E is MUCH more interesting and significant and downright *awesome* looking.

NHC should be pushing the line " ... and look at all this tremendous activity in the Eastern Pacific, with Hurricane Boris forming in mid-basin and this *enormous cyclonic gyre* that's set up shop for the past week that's going to crank out one storm after another ... and all that activity is going to soon 'migrate' into the Atlantic basic in a matter of weeks." Or something along those lines.

Alas! It's in a no-big-deal basin, though, and hasn't gotten nearly the media attention it deserves.

The bottom line is that it's not widely known and acknowledged that the far-eastern EastPac and the far-western Atlantic basins are much more interrelated and interdependent that it would appear to be the case. Especially with 'global warming' and the basins' running a few degrees warmer than climatology, it likely exacerbates the dynamical interaction of the basins, ala enhanced MJO pulses and the like.

NHC could put a big 'spin' on this and play up the likelihood of an earlier than normal 'start' to hurricane season with Hurricane Bertha being declared in a week or so (July 10th ) in the *western* Atlantic, rather than the not-quite-ripe-yet far-eastern Atlantic.

Now *that's* a good media 'package' that a 'talking head' could take all the way to the Larry King show. Did someone say 'favorable media coverage' for the good folks at the NHC?

But then again, SST's are up near 92L from climatology, and, as cieldumort has so eloquently pointed out: Stranger things have happened !!


http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/sata...amp;overlay=off

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* 'Invest Mongering' Media Ploy / Reality Check CoconutCandy Tue Jul 01 2008 01:59 PM
. * * Re: 'Invest Mongering' Media Ploy / Reality Check M.A.   Tue Jul 01 2008 03:55 PM

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