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#Beryl is now forecast to become a Category 4 hurricane before reaching the Windward islands, those in the Hurricane Warning area should rush preparation to completion today. Also 96L east of Beryl with a 70% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 305 (Idalia) , Major: 305 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 305 (Idalia) Major: 305 (Idalia)
10.6N 53.9W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 968mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

CoconutCandy
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Posts: 245
Loc: Beautiful Honolulu Hawaii
Surprisingly Early Cape Verde Cyclogenesis
      Thu Jul 03 2008 10:56 AM

============================================

UPDATE: NHC has just Upgraded TD Two to Tropical Storm Bertha. No wonder the Depression was looking so much like a Tropical Storm already in the pic below. Amazing! A Cape Verde Storm on July 3rd!

============================================

Well I am quite surprised to see the wave held together so well, and the convective max last night gave it just the energy input needed to facilitate cyclogenesis.



I can't remember when I've seen such a well organized Cape Verde depression that looks like a TS already, so very early in the season. Almost certainly, that pocket of anomalous SST's a few degrees above climo just off the west coast of Africa provided the 'fuel for the fire' and allowed the cyclone to form this early in the season. A harbinger of things to come ?!?



It'll be of little consequence as a 'fish spinner', except to shipping lanes. But of much greater consequence is what this implies for the rest of this coming hurricane season. A bumper crop of storms, perhaps?

And, were it not for the shear, we'd have another cyclone forming over the Leeward Islands right now. The tropics are really starting to percolate early this year. July may be quite active. August and September will very likely be 'Bingo-Bango', to bandy some recent vernacular. Interesting times, tropical weather-wise!

It's seems quite likely that, if the shear relaxes for most of the season like in 2005, and with the SST's running a tad warmer than usual, we'll be seeing a conveyor belt of cyclones again this year. Best to be *Extra Prepared* this season!

- Norm in Honolulu (Former Coconut Grove, Florida Resident from '77 - '80 - Survived David in Miami 1979, Allen in Key West 1980, Iwa 1982, Iniki 1992)


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands MikeCAdministrator Thu Jul 03 2008 10:56 AM
. * * Hurricane Bertha John C   Mon Jul 07 2008 06:44 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands cieldumort   Mon Jul 07 2008 03:15 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands LDH892   Mon Jul 07 2008 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands Hugh   Sun Jul 06 2008 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands Random Chaos   Sun Jul 06 2008 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands Hugh   Sun Jul 06 2008 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands LoisCane   Sun Jul 06 2008 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands Hugh   Sun Jul 06 2008 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands cieldumort   Sun Jul 06 2008 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Bertha intensifying Random Chaos   Sun Jul 06 2008 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Bertha intensifying Random Chaos   Sun Jul 06 2008 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Bertha intensifying weatherguy08   Sun Jul 06 2008 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Bertha intensifying Hugh   Sun Jul 06 2008 04:44 PM
. * * Bertha intensifying craigm   Sun Jul 06 2008 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Accuweather Genesis   Sun Jul 06 2008 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Accuweather Hugh   Sun Jul 06 2008 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Accuweather LDH892   Sun Jul 06 2008 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Accuweather scottsvb   Sun Jul 06 2008 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Accuweather WeatherNut   Sun Jul 06 2008 01:57 PM
. * * Accuweather craigm   Sun Jul 06 2008 01:17 PM
. * * Central Atlantic...Sunday danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 06 2008 10:19 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands scottsvb   Sat Jul 05 2008 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands weatherguy08   Sat Jul 05 2008 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands typhoon_tip   Sat Jul 05 2008 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands hurricaneguy   Sat Jul 05 2008 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands typhoon_tip   Sat Jul 05 2008 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Bertha... Status Quo? Random Chaos   Sat Jul 05 2008 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Bertha... Status Quo? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Jul 05 2008 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Bertha... Status Quo? flanewscameraman   Sat Jul 05 2008 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Bertha... Status Quo? craigm   Sat Jul 05 2008 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Bertha... Status Quo? DarleneCane   Sat Jul 05 2008 09:19 AM
. * * Bertha... Status Quo? danielwAdministrator   Fri Jul 04 2008 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Bertha strengthening? LoisCane   Fri Jul 04 2008 07:54 PM
. * * Bertha strengthening? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri Jul 04 2008 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands cieldumort   Fri Jul 04 2008 03:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Bertha Forms South of Cape Verde Islands typhoon_tip   Thu Jul 03 2008 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Surprising Early Cape Verde Cyclogenesis MichaelA   Thu Jul 03 2008 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Surprising Early Cape Verde Cyclogenesis JustMe   Thu Jul 03 2008 11:01 AM
. * * Surprisingly Early Cape Verde Cyclogenesis CoconutCandy   Thu Jul 03 2008 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Watching Systems in the Eastern Caribbean and Far East Atlantic cieldumort   Thu Jul 03 2008 04:27 AM
. * * Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic Random Chaos   Wed Jul 02 2008 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic Hugh   Wed Jul 02 2008 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic Random Chaos   Wed Jul 02 2008 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic Lee-Delray   Wed Jul 02 2008 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic Rich B   Wed Jul 02 2008 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching System in the Far East Atlantic cieldumort   Wed Jul 02 2008 04:38 PM

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