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Helene after-Impacts still being felt in some areas. Area to watch for the Gulf Coast in the west Caribbean in a week to week and a half or so, with a 40% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Helene) , Major: 4 (Helene) Florida - Any: 4 (Helene) Major: 4 (Helene)
Hur Kirk
ADV#9 5:00 pm EDT
16.2N 40.1W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 986mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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craigm
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 327
Loc: Palm City, Florida
Re: Major Hurricane Bertha Now Moving Northwest
      Wed Jul 09 2008 11:19 AM

Ed, Correct me if I'm wrong. Isn't The Cliper5 a statistical model based on previous years data, specifically 1956 through 1995, with factors such as initial motion, day of the year and max surface winds compared to storms with similar parameters, over the years, without any other dynamics? This probably belongs in A/T but, it does relate to your post.

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* The CLIPER Forecast Model Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Jul 09 2008 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Bertha Now Moving Northwest craigm   Wed Jul 09 2008 11:19 AM

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