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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things
Tue Jul 15 2008 03:58 AM

Really have to disagree with that assesment.

Different take -

LLC much closer to, well, basically right at, 12N 45W, and finally starting to redevelop some (a little) convection right within it.

That hint of a spin off to the west-northwest (closer to 13N 47W) strikes me as resulting from the wrap-around convective balls we have been watching all day coming into contact with a conflicting layer or some sort.. so the tiny little complex probably hit a portion of the low-level/surface shear zone 94L has been roughly tending to follow, at the same it was rounding the smooth western edges of the oblong, broad circulation.

My best guess as to 94Ls LLC current position is about the same as the center location being tracked by NRL, currently listed at 11.9N-45.3W, on their website.

However, it will be curious if the flare near 13N 47W doesn't disrupt things a bit, as it might very well be in the process of developing a meso, and without a doubt, it's the best looking convective cluster of the bunch so far today or tonight.

* Going to edit and amend all that to say that I might be nudged to split the difference with scott. We need a few more microwave passes... -and- a scatt... to put this one together, but a recent AMSRE pass sort of hints that there may be a primary or secondary LLC running along or near 12N and west of 46W.

How do you spell dis-or-g-a-ni-zed?

(I know, it's not *that* disorganized, but it could certainly be said to have room for improvement)

As an aside, this is one of the longest stretches of Dvorak T numbers running 2.0 out of SAB, Tropical T numbers, in any case, without an upgrade:

15/0545 UTC 11.8N 45.1W T2.0/2.0 94L
14/2345 UTC 11.9N 44.2W T2.0/2.0 94L
14/1745 UTC 12.1N 43.1W T2.0/2.0 94L
14/1145 UTC 11.9N 42.0W T1.5/1.5 94L

Edited by cieldumort (Tue Jul 15 2008 04:37 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Bertha Near Bermuda, Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	Ed Dunham	Tue Jul 15 2008 03:58 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Tue Jul 15 2008 03:58 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Tue Jul 15 2008 02:41 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Tue Jul 15 2008 12:57 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:49 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	weathernet	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:40 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:39 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 08:22 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 08:13 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Mon Jul 14 2008 08:07 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Freezey	Mon Jul 14 2008 08:03 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:54 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	metwannabe	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:41 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:41 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:20 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 07:10 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Mon Jul 14 2008 06:55 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	MichaelA	Mon Jul 14 2008 06:23 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	xxflcyclonexx	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:12 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	doug	Mon Jul 14 2008 04:57 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:52 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	CDMOrlando	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:23 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	metwannabe	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:54 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:52 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	lawgator	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:51 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	ftlaudbob	Mon Jul 14 2008 02:10 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	xxflcyclonexx	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:57 PM
Re: Bertha Near Bermuda, Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 14 2008 12:53 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Mon Jul 14 2008 12:29 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 12:18 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Cat 5orBust	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:11 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	doug	Mon Jul 14 2008 11:06 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 10:58 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 10:51 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	metwannabe	Mon Jul 14 2008 10:20 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Sophie	Mon Jul 14 2008 10:04 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Mon Jul 14 2008 09:39 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Wingman51	Mon Jul 14 2008 08:45 AM
Re: Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	MikeC	Mon Jul 14 2008 06:35 AM
Re: Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:10 AM
Re: Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	Freezey	Mon Jul 14 2008 05:03 AM
Bertha lurches towards Bermuda	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:47 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Clark	Mon Jul 14 2008 03:14 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	weathernet	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:43 AM
Bertha, 94L and the Bahamas	danielw	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:40 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	scottsvb	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:38 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Freezey	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:33 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Mon Jul 14 2008 01:25 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2008 11:56 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Sun Jul 13 2008 11:04 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	craigm	Sun Jul 13 2008 11:01 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:51 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	LoisCane	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:30 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Freezey	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:09 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	hurricaneguy	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:02 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 09:39 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things	cieldumort	Sun Jul 13 2008 09:27 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 13 2008 07:59 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 07:48 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	MikeC	Sun Jul 13 2008 07:40 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 07:36 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	cieldumort	Sun Jul 13 2008 06:18 PM
Cristobal - "The Wave"	weathernet	Sun Jul 13 2008 05:58 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	LoisCane	Sun Jul 13 2008 05:45 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 02:01 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Rich B	Sun Jul 13 2008 02:01 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	danielw	Sun Jul 13 2008 01:52 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	danielw	Sun Jul 13 2008 01:48 PM
Re: Bertha Vortex Message	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 01:36 PM
Bertha Vortex Message	danielw	Sun Jul 13 2008 01:18 PM
Re: trifecta	Hugh	Sun Jul 13 2008 12:01 PM
Re: trifecta	scottsvb	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:39 AM
Re: trifecta	LoisCane	Sun Jul 13 2008 10:39 AM
trifecta	HanKFranK	Sun Jul 13 2008 09:41 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda	stormchazer	Sun Jul 13 2008 06:23 AM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda	typhoon_tip	Sat Jul 12 2008 07:37 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda	Sophie	Sat Jul 12 2008 06:18 PM

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